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89Falcon

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Posts posted by 89Falcon

  1. 43 minutes ago, Setx fan said:

    Really good high school players sometimes don't receive D1 offers for different reasons. Some don't show up at as many camps as others and when they do they might have a bad day at the camp and not look that impressive. Some don't participate in powerlifting and track events that some scouts use to verify strength and speed. Some don't have a lot of film readily available. Some just don't fit the "measurables" that scouts look for at certain positions. Some have bad grades or test scores. Lot of things have to get checked off for D1 offers most times and the best 3A high school players don't always hit all the checks. I'm sure Jones can play somewhere although it may not be D1 and who's to say he doesn't end up at a D1 after a couple years at a juco or D3. It's happened before  

    Josh Allen is a good example.

  2. 5 minutes ago, kirkwood29 said:

    I dont disagree with this statement.  In the same breath, I can give you a list of "player" who received D1 offer and was not voted as the District MVP unanimously by every coach.   Yet, the MVP will be sitting at home next fall and the "second place guy" is going to be suiting it up for a local D1.  So, Yes, i completely understand your sentiment. 

    OL particularly receive offers based upon “size” and nothing else. 

  3. 3 minutes ago, kirkwood29 said:

    I dont disagree with this statement.  In the same breath, I can give you a list of "player" who received D1 offer and was not voted as the District MVP unanimously by every coach.   Yet, the MVP will be sitting at home next fall and the "second place guy" is going to be suiting it up for a local D1.  So, Yes, i completely understand your sentiment. 

    Has happened both ways. Many people would rate Chavis McCollister among the greatest high school players of all time. Yet, he received little to no college interest.

  4. 11 minutes ago, BBtater984 said:

    The only person who is hurt is obviously you. Cause only a pathetic, little man would use the word pathetic to describe kids and their abilities... names or no names. 

    Thanks for the illuminating response. I have just had an epiphany. From this point forward I will no longer utilize the word “pathetic”. I will now utilize: “completely incompetent on a football field”. 

  5. 10 minutes ago, kirkwood29 said:

    Colleges disagree with you, as best player on one side of the ball has already been offered by 3 colleges as a junior and Jones isn't playing college football next year.  Lots of talent in the young man, but we both know what makes that offense go 

    Now, who will fill the void of Jones?  That's a great question?

    What colleges do is not relevant to high school performance. I could give you a list of players holding D1 offers that are borderline pathetic.

  6. 9 hours ago, Setx fan said:

    Newton actually lost a lot up front to graduation so the match up between Newton and Woodville could be a little closer this year depending on a few variables, the main being coaching. Woodville will probably have more overall team speed but then again KJ and Izayah will probably be a handful by themselves so we'll find out soon enough 

    It will not matter what Newton lost up front. WV will be non-competitive.

  7. 39 minutes ago, Setx fan said:

    QB from Woodville moved. Hardin still not going to beat Woodville. It could be competitive with Hardin's size and experience up front though. Think they return 3 or 4 from the OLine and got a 350 pound move in from Liberty to add to that 

    Hardin will beat the brakes off WV. WV is about to be a dumpster fire. Fortunately, outside of Newton and Hardin, the district is utterly pathetic. 

  8. 1 hour ago, WOSdrummer99 said:

    Yall act like he's a 1st year coach from a rival school. He'll have multiple programs in the playoffs soon. 

    Go to 31:22

     

     

    Who said anything about coaching ability? Pretty certain the post was regarding “talent level”. He may very well have “several programs in the playoffs” in the future. 2026 football will not be one of them.

  9. 9 minutes ago, Dawgsfan said:

    They may have made a huge mistake.  Like I said, Foreman wasn't impressed with the current talent and even tried to get the person who transferred out back multiple times.  I hear Foreman's son can run and will be coming so that will be good for the team.  

    Let's talk about what's good for all of the boys.  I haven't heard of Foreman going walk the halls and supporting administration yet.  Also heard head basketball coach wants out.  Let's see if Foreman will only be focused on football or will do good by all of the sports.  He's aligning himself with some questionable people in the community already.

    He wasn’t “impressed with the talent” for good reason. The 2027 class is horrible beyond all belief. He will need to weather the storm this coming year and try to get the foundation in place to build from in the future. 

  10. 1 hour ago, BBtater984 said:

    You are most definitely the type of person who has to get the last word... the kind of person who is not big enough to walk away without getting the last word. And if you don't get the last word, you stomp your feet while walking away. 

    Thank you for the compliment. It means a lot to me. I take great pride in being the smartest contributor to this forum. 

  11. 6 hours ago, oldschool2 said:

    I chose 60k and 53k respectively because the line between lower class and middle class in Texas is 53k.. according to a quick google search.  I figured the average income should be slightly higher (on average) in suburban/urban areas.  Which is why I chose 60k for the 6A/5A/4A marker.  Was I wrong in thinking that?  Use a different number if you want.  Use 70k.. or 80k.. or 100k.  Do you think the percentage of schools that have a successful football season will go up or down with the increase of that household income?

    That was rhetorical.  Of the schools in a district/town with an average household income of 100k or more, 100% of them had a winning football season.  Every. Single. One. 

    Median household income in Texas is currently at $79k. You can draw no conclusions without a total number of districts in each income bracket. If there are 30 in one range and 50 in another range then you would expect to see more from the range with 50. 
     

    A “numbers guy” should understand this beforehand. 
     

    Also, does “every single one” mean: “not nearly all of them”? Exceeding poorly thought out comment. Grapevine, Katy Taylor, Flower Mound, Kingwood, VR Eaton, Northwest, on and on as far as you want to go.

  12. 1 hour ago, oldschool2 said:

    There are 96 schools that made the state quarterfinals.  65 of those 96 schools have at least $60k average household incomes.

    I also comprised a list of all of the 6A/5A/4A schools in the state, along with their respective household income, and their regular season record for the 2025 football season.  There are 166 schools that have an average household income of $60k or greater.  23.7% of those schools (40) had a winning record (6-4 or better).  There are 84 schools in the group with an average household income of less than $60k. 12% of those schools (10) had a winning record (6-4 or better).

    I also went ahead and did a list of 3A schools.. just for fun.  Of the schools that had an average household income of $53k (low class in Tx) or more, 77.4% of them had a winning record (6-4 or better).  Of the schools that had an average income of less than $53k, 33.2% of them had a winning record (6-4 or better).

    So.. even though there are other factors and exceptions.  6A/5A/4A schools that have an average household income of $60k or more have two times the statistical likelihood of having a winning season.  And 3AD1 schools with average household incomes of $53k or more have a 77% chance of a winning record, compare to a 33% chance of those that make less than $53k.

    Again.. I know there are other details involved.  But.. I'm a numbers guy.  And these numbers tell a story.

    Understood that you are a "numbers guy". You believe that a combined household income of $60k (two parent making 30k each) is significantly different than $50k (two parents making $25k each) and offers an athletic advantage. 

    Also being a "numbers guy", you should know that no statistical conclusion can be made without simultaneously showing the numbers for all districts in Texas that did not make it to the semi-finals or without identifying how many districts are within each threshold. Example: What is the number of schools in Texas below $50k median income in Texas vs those $50-60k, above $60k.

    Or, "how many schools in Texas are above/below whatever range you choose to consider". 

  13. 4 hours ago, oldschool2 said:

    Here are all of the state quarterfinalists from 2025.. and an estimated HH income for said school district according to Ai : ($53,147 is considered below middle class in Texas)

    Classification / Division School District / Area Est. Median HH Income
    6A DI Allen Allen ISD ~$128,000
    6A DI North Crowley Crowley ISD ~$83,000
    6A DI Duncanville Duncanville ISD ~$63,000
    6A DI Waxahachie Waxahachie ISD ~$92,000
    6A DI Galena Park North Shore Galena Park ISD ~$58,000
    6A DI Dickinson Dickinson ISD ~$87,000
    6A DI Lake Travis Lake Travis ISD ~$148,000
    6A DI San Antonio Johnson North East ISD ~$78,000
    6A DII Southlake Carroll Carroll ISD ~$250,000+
    6A DII Denton Guyer Denton ISD ~$89,000
    6A DII DeSoto DeSoto ISD ~$79,000
    6A DII Willis Willis ISD ~$73,000
    6A DII Sheldon C.E. King Sheldon ISD ~$66,000
    6A DII Humble Summer Creek Humble ISD ~$84,000
    6A DII Austin Vandegrift Leander ISD ~$116,000
    6A DII Dripping Springs Dripping Springs ISD ~$128,000
    5A DI Aledo Aledo ISD ~$126,000
    5A DI Denton Ryan Denton ISD ~$89,000
    5A DI Frisco Lone Star Frisco ISD ~$146,000
    5A DI Dallas Highland Park Highland Park ISD ~$244,000+
    5A DI Port Arthur Memorial Port Arthur ISD ~$42,000
    5A DI Barbers Hill Barbers Hill ISD ~$108,000
    5A DI Smithson Valley Comal ISD ~$96,000
    5A DI New Braunfels New Braunfels ISD ~$74,000
    5A DII Melissa Melissa ISD ~$118,000
    5A DII Argyle Argyle ISD ~$147,000
    5A DII Dallas South Oak Cliff Dallas ISD ~$61,000
    5A DII Port Neches-Groves PNG ISD ~$76,000
    5A DII Richmond Randle Lamar CISD ~$96,000
    5A DII Iowa Colony Alvin ISD ~$89,000
    5A DII Boerne Boerne ISD ~$104,000
    5A DII San Antonio Alamo Heights Alamo Heights ISD ~$132,000
    4A DI Stephenville Stephenville ISD ~$63,000
    4A DI Canyon West Plains Canyon ISD ~$79,000
    4A DI Celina Celina ISD ~$127,000
    4A DI Alvarado Alvarado ISD ~$79,000
    4A DI Kilgore Kilgore ISD ~$63,000
    4A DI Fort Bend Crawford Fort Bend ISD ~$109,000
    4A DI La Vernia La Vernia ISD ~$95,000
    4A DI Comal Davenport Comal ISD ~$96,000
    4A DII Brock Brock ISD ~$101,000
    4A DII Midland Greenwood Greenwood ISD ~$97,000
    4A DII Carthage Carthage ISD ~$56,000
    4A DII Athens Athens ISD ~$54,000
    4A DII West Orange-Stark West Orange-Cove CISD ~$55,000
    4A DII Waco La Vega La Vega ISD ~$58,000
    4A DII Sinton Sinton ISD ~$67,000
    4A DII Cuero Cuero ISD ~$59,000
    3A DI Peaster Peaster ISD ~$92,000
    3A DI Paradise Paradise ISD ~$88,000
    3A DI Grandview Grandview ISD ~$86,000
    3A DI Pottsboro Pottsboro ISD ~$87,000
    3A DI Yoakum Yoakum ISD ~$57,000
    3A DI Columbus Columbus ISD ~$71,000
    3A DI Llano Llano ISD ~$59,000
    3A DI Edna Edna ISD ~$58,000
    3A DII Wall Wall ISD ~$92,000
    3A DII Idalou Idalou ISD ~$71,000
    3A DII Gunter Gunter ISD ~$118,000
    3A DII Leonard Leonard ISD ~$78,000
    3A DII Newton Newton ISD ~$46,000
    3A DII Arp Arp ISD ~$58,000
    3A DII East Bernard East Bernard ISD ~$82,000
    3A DII Tidehaven Tidehaven ISD ~$63,000
    2A DI West Texas West Texas ISD ~$67,000
    2A DI Cisco Cisco ISD ~$53,000
    2A DI Hamilton Hamilton ISD ~$57,000
    2A DI Axtell Axtell ISD ~$61,000
    2A DI Joaquin Joaquin ISD ~$50,000
    2A DI San Augustine San Augustine ISD ~$43,000
    2A DI Refugio Refugio ISD ~$63,000
    2A DI Mason Mason ISD ~$61,000
    2A DII Gruver Gruver ISD ~$71,000
    2A DII Stratford Stratford ISD ~$83,000
    2A DII Muenster Muenster ISD ~$89,000
    2A DII Lindsay Lindsay ISD ~$95,000
    2A DII Mount Enterprise Mount Enterprise ISD ~$49,000
    2A DII Bremond Bremond ISD ~$48,000
    2A DII Shiner Shiner ISD ~$68,000
    2A DII Junction Junction ISD ~$50,000
    1A D1 (6-man) Rankin Rankin ISD ~$81,000
    1A D1 (6-man) Water Valley Water Valley ISD ~$64,000
    1A D1 (6-man) Gordon Gordon ISD ~$67,000
    1A D1 (6-man) Union Hill Union Hill ISD ~$60,000
    1A D2 (6-man) Jayton Jayton-Girard ISD ~$56,000
    1A D2 (6-man) Klondike Klondike ISD ~$59,000
    1A D2 (6-man) Richland Springs Richland Springs ISD ~$52,000
    1A D2 (6-man) Strawn Strawn ISD ~$55,000

    So, what exactly have you shown? That “Onalaska has everything economically needed to be competitive”? Or that “median income is not a determining factor for success”?

  14. 13 minutes ago, oldschool2 said:

    I'd have to see some statistics on that.  I'm not believing that high household incomes doesn't correlate to money pumped into public school athletic programs.  And also.. money that it takes to put student athletes through offseason leagues/camps/training.  I'd never say that exceptions aren't out there.. but you won't convince me that the ratio of kids of affluent homes and kids of poor homes is anywhere near equal in total numbers when it comes to participation in year round playing/training.  There's just no way.

    Not sure where I said “household income doesn’t contribute to money pumped into programs”. What I did say is: there are “many” programs “with money” that are in poor socioeconomic areas. The greatest influx of $$ comes from local industry. 
     

    I also said: “for every successful affluent area there is another one that is unsuccessful”. The unsuccessful affluent programs are not an “exception” and the successful non-affluent areas are not an exception either. 

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