89Falcon
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Posts posted by 89Falcon
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8 hours ago, Reagan said:
I see the results. Not debatable! It's my understanding that he's just been replaced as starting QB. Probably never would have happened if Dodge was his coach. So...
You have no idea as you were not present with the kid throughout the journey and have no idea what factors were in play. It is very bold and arrogant to say that you know better than a child's parent.
And even more ridiculous to say you know more than this kid's parent who is well experienced coach intimately acquainted with every detail pertaining to his own kid.
- Reagan and AggiesAreWe
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32 minutes ago, Reagan said:
I beg to differ. I know his Dad is a coach. That also tells me his Dad wasn't good enough to get the most out of his kid. I'll say again -- give him 3 years with Dodge and you'd seen a dramatic difference. Contrary to what some may believe here there are differences in coaches. Some good, some bad and some in between.
Regardless of the drop in numbers, WOS still has the talent. Just like West Brook and United actually has talent. But...
Just my opinion.
You know more about what's best for the kid than the kids dad who is a long-time coach? I think I would defer to the parent for "getting the most out of their kid".
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41 minutes ago, hondo1 said:
I really didn't think it was possible to be this delusional about anything, much less a high school football program. Please tell anyone reading this post how do you " Coach " someone with no athletic abilities, into being a division 1 or 5 star athlete???? Last I checked speed, athleticism, agility, jumping abilities, hand eye coordination, none of those things can be " instilled " in a player by a Coach. There have been numerous players that have played Division 1 athletics and literally didn't play the sport in high school, much less be coached into being able to play. Their athletic abilities made it possible not any Coach.
1000% Coaches do not tackle, block, run, catch or throw. Cannot win games without the “dudes”.
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33 minutes ago, hondo1 said:
So when WOS wins a game it's because of the athletes , but when they lose it's because the coach and his staff is worthless and don't know what they're doing? Got it, it's kinda like how Dallas SOC is about to go to their 5th State Championship game in a row, but many people like you don't their head coach and his staff knows what they're doing either, it's all " them athletes they got " 😒
It is all frivolous discussion. WOS is not going to lose this game. They will win handily.
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Shepherd missing too many players to compete with HF tonight. Well done Horns.
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8 minutes ago, TrojanWarrior08 said:
Early reports that I saw before the school year started.
That was an old number. I believe they started lower.
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1 hour ago, TrojanWarrior08 said:
How in the world we lose 20 students?
Where did you hear that CS had 500 to start the year?
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38 minutes ago, Matthew328 said:
Only thing I've seen is picking winners and over a 5 year average its just just shy if 81% in the regular season...playoffs go down to just above 64% which makes sense...
I'd probably have to have an excel wizard do some work to get a variance based on the predicted spread
Just pointed out that the margins from your computer have been way off concerning margins on Shepherd this year.
Anyone who pays attention to the sport can accurately predict “winners” based upon history of the programs. Especially on a wide scale.
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7 minutes ago, Matthew328 said:
Computer model also gets a ton right..but typically its only the misses they remember..saying H-J would beat Shepherd isn't some off the wall prediction...its in my view totally plausible in a hypothetical world
Understood. Computer model has not been close on Shepherd scores many times this year.
Do you have a means of checking the average variance?
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9 hours ago, BADSANTA said:
Jasper is about a notch better than Tarkington. Is it a talent or coaching issue in Jasper? Haven't seen a Jasper team this bad in a very long time. Not sure if I ever have.
Talent. The JR and SR class have been terrible since they started in Junior high. Jasper current FR class is loaded, they will get back to normal shortly.
***They will beat Tarkington similar to everyone else.
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8 hours ago, Matthew328 said:
Shepherd in our computer models is a 4-point favorite over H-J not unrealistic by any means
Your computer model had Jasper as an 11 point favorite over Shepherd. HJ would have zero chance to make the playoffs in D2.
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10 hours ago, Matthew328 said:
if H-J stayed D2 they'd be a playoff team this year IMO
Zero chance HJ would have made the playoffs in D2.
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9 hours ago, Lightning/Eagle said:
I think all three New Caney ISD teams may fall into 5A D1 numbers. At least that is what I have been hearing.
And West Fork will opt up if they fall short.
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1 hour ago, TrojanWarrior08 said:
I think the best situation for this outcome is to just build another high school in the area or they could zone students in different school districts. Let's see you have some that can go to Tarkington (6 miles away), Splendora (although this particular one is not a good idea because of their own growth but 7 miles away), Shepherd (9 miles away) and they can have the students in that very bottom portion over in southwest San Jacinto County that actually goes to Cleveland send those students to Coldspring (18 miles away). All different types of solutions but no remedies just yet.
Tarkington has already blockaded Colony Ridge. Other districts will not annex and receive someone else’s problems. They have discussed home rule for Plum Grove
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2 minutes ago, BMTSoulja1 said:
Tells me everything I need to know about the locals. Very weird, but whatever…
Locals meaning “non-Colony Ridge” residents. Particularly the power brokers who wield political influence.
Bonds have been attempted on a regular basis including last year. They fail by a large margin.
Colony Ridge is the largest migrant community in the United States. Cleveland dynamics/situation are unprecedented in the state.
- bullets13 and AggiesAreWe
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35 minutes ago, BMTSoulja1 said:
‘Accommodate’ them?…. 🤦🏿🤦🏿
That is correct. The locals do not want to do anything to help Colony Ridge residents or its developer.
The belief is “the more difficult they make the situation, it will discourage continued development”.
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27 minutes ago, BMTSoulja1 said:
We’ve also had a discussion on how taxes are paid. If they’re there working, living, buying groceries, ect, then some of that’s going to taxes. Continue wondering I guess.
It is not going to "property taxes" which pays for school funding. The majority of the population is undocumented and does not participate in voting. The local power brokers will not allow a bond to pass because they do not want to accommodate "Colony Ridge/Terrenos Houston".
The only hope is that the district may split someday with home rule going to Colony Ridge.
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1 hour ago, TrojanWarrior08 said:
We been seeing discussions on how throughout this area of Montgomery, Liberty and San Jacinto counties how this area has been growing. From a football perspective does this help or harm the schools in the area getting placed in districts where the higher the enrollment gets you placed in a district where you can't compete or can it help to where to can get quality players out of a quanity of students and have to make do with whatever comes with it. Thoughts?
Coldspring has not grown any. Shepherd will drop back to 3A at the next alignment after the current Senior and Junior class graduate. Tarkington has also lost numbers. Cleveland has lost numbers as well. Splendora is the only one growing at the moment.
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3 minutes ago, WOSdrummer99 said:
Does Shepherd have any live stream?
They do not.
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1 hour ago, AggiesAreWe said:
Last year, Shepherd was averaging 355 yards rushing per game going into Silsbee game. Tigers held them to 215.
WO-S held them to their 2nd lowest rushing total of 223 yards. The other 8 games Shepherd rushed for 300+.
I like WO-S in this one, 30-13
Shepherd has a drastically different team than what was seen last year including two RBs and their FB. Shepherd OL is significantly upgraded as well. They may not win the games but I wouldn’t put much stock in what was seen last year.
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41 minutes ago, kirkwood29 said:
Tarkington is set to drop and I was told Hardin is on the 3AD2 bubble. Then, there's always Woodville and Warren as to where they will land? I dont know much about Liberty or HJ but if they stay D2 where they belong, it will certainly make things interesting with the remainder of the d2 and d1 beaumont area teams.
You are correct. Hardin is right on the edge. If HJ and Liberty stay down it could push Shepherd north or southwest. Crockett is also likely to drop as well which would likely remove AS, Trinity and NW.
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28 minutes ago, AggiesAreWe said:
I sure hope they don't drop. Need them to stay in order to have at least a 6 team DII district since BC, HJ and Liberty (who are DII enrollment) chose to opt up. I expect them to do the same in this realignment. (even though BC may have DI enrollment this time around)
A 5 team district is not good. Have to schedule 6 non-district games which is virtually impossible. Be better off playing each district foe twice, eight games, then only having 2 non district games but that won't happen.
If HJ and Liberty would just stay DII, then no issues.
I dont believe that it is settled on HJ and especially Liberty, opting up again. Dont know much about BC. I honestly see no way for Tarkington to remain up.
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6 minutes ago, BADSANTA said:
Tarkington would be more competitive back in 3A. Seems like that area is growing..
They are likely to drop. Their enrollment is down significantly from last realignment (well below the last cut line).
Snapshot day (realignment)
in High School Football
Posted
This is the driving factor. Should provide cumulative relief system wide.
I expect the drop to be much more dramatic at the next alignment.