Snapshot day (realignment)

[Elessar]

Elam reported Texas Football’s mock alignment 4A DII:

HJ

WOS

Silsbee

Shepherd

Hamshire 

Jasper 

[CDub86]

9 hours ago, Elessar said:

Elam reported Texas Football’s mock alignment 4A DII:

HJ

WOS

Silsbee

Shepherd

Hamshire 

Jasper 

No Tarkington? OF?

[Eagles12]

46 minutes ago, CDub86 said:

No Tarkington? OF?

No, they are 3A in these projections. 

[CDub86]

1 hour ago, Eagles12 said:

No, they are 3A in these projections. 

Oh wow! Was expecting Tarkington to stay put and OF come up.

[TrojanWarrior08]

Saw this in a mock district.  Looks interesting.  Feel sorry for Cleveland in either district they fall in.

[Eagles12]

On 12/14/2025 at 12:00 AM, CDub86 said:

Oh wow! Was expecting Tarkington to stay put and OF come up.

The number is almost certainly falling somewhere between 525 and 535 I would think. Would not be shocked if it hit 530 on the nose and Tarkington stayed up and Orangefield down. 
 

I am no expert at all just cobbling information from several different guys who do this every year and mashing it together to form my opinion. I would say Tarkington/OF were 50/50 at snapshot day with reported numbers, I’d go Tarkington 60/40, OF 62/38 at this point. 
 

Either way I’d expect we know tomorrow or Tuesday at the latest. 

[CDub86]

8 hours ago, Eagles12 said:

The number is almost certainly falling somewhere between 525 and 535 I would think. Would not be shocked if it hit 530 on the nose and Tarkington stayed up and Orangefield down. 
 

I am no expert at all just cobbling information from several different guys who do this every year and mashing it together to form my opinion. I would say Tarkington/OF were 50/50 at snapshot day with reported numbers, I’d go Tarkington 60/40, OF 62/38 at this point. 
 

Either way I’d expect we know tomorrow or Tuesday at the latest. 

Yeah from seeing the snapshot numbers I figured Tarkington would be a bubble team for 4A. Would love to see them in 3A but we'll see.

[oldschool2]

3 hours ago, CDub86 said:

Yeah from seeing the snapshot numbers I figured Tarkington would be a bubble team for 4A. Would love to see them in 3A but we'll see.

I just kind of have a feeling that the cutoffs are going to go down enough to keep Tarkington 4A.  Call it a hunch.  I think Orangefield comes up as well.  

[CDub86]

1 minute ago, oldschool2 said:

I just kind of have a feeling that the cutoffs are going to go down enough to keep Tarkington 4A.  Call it a hunch. 

Kinda how I feel as well.

[Eagles12]

12 hours ago, CDub86 said:

Yeah from seeing the snapshot numbers I figured Tarkington would be a bubble team for 4A. Would love to see them in 3A but we'll see.

Dave Campbell has you guys essentially back in the same football district as 2 years ago.