PhatMack19 Posted September 19, 2023 Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 Some big games this week #3 Texas(-15.5) at Baylor Auburn at Texas A&M(-7.5) #6 Ohio St(-3.5) at #9 Notre Dame #4 Florida St(-2.5) at Clemson #19 Colorado at #10 Oregon(-21) #15 Ole Miss at #13 Alabama(-7) #22 UCLA at #11 Utah(-4.5) #14 Oregon St(-3) at #21 Washington St Arkansas at #12 LSU(-17.5) #24 Iowa at #7 Penn St(-14.5) Silsbee92 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 19, 2023 Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 13 minutes ago, PhatMack19 said: Some big games this week #3 Texas(-15.5) at Baylor Auburn at Texas A&M(-7.5) #6 Ohio St(-3.5) at #9 Notre Dame #4 Florida St(-2.5) at Clemson #19 Colorado at #10 Oregon(-21) #15 Ole Miss at #13 Alabama(-7) #22 UCLA at #11 Utah(-4.5) #14 Oregon St(-3) at #21 Washington St Arkansas at #12 LSU(-17.5) #24 Iowa at #7 Penn St(-14.5) Great day of college football next Saturday. Need to study these a little more. Some tough ones to pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 19, 2023 Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 12 hours ago, AggiesAreWe said: Great day of college football next Saturday. Need to study these a little more. Some tough ones to pick. Yeah lots of sharp lines this week. The only one that really looks weird to me is Florida State -2.5. Seems like that should be bigger, and the public is betting it that way on Draftkings with 88% of the bets on Florida State. Seems fishy. I also kinda think A&M should be favored by more than 7.5 at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 19, 2023 Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 57 minutes ago, BEARCPA said: Yeah lots of sharp lines this week. The only one that really looks weird to me is Florida State -2.5. Seems like that should be bigger, and the public is betting it that way on Draftkings with 88% of the bets on Florida State. Seems fishy. I also kinda think A&M should be favored by more than 7.5 at home. The 2.5 for FSU is a bit odd. I think the 7.5 is a good number for A&M. Oregon being 21 point favorites is a little surprising. Would have put it at 17.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Right99JOH Posted September 19, 2023 Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 1 hour ago, AggiesAreWe said: The 2.5 for FSU is a bit odd. I think the 7.5 is a good number for A&M. Oregon being 21 point favorites is a little surprising. Would have put it at 17.5 Poor performance by FSU last week, but they should be getting 3 starters back this week (2 on offense, 1 on defense). 21 by Oregon is kind of crazy. I'd take the over in that game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatMack19 Posted September 19, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 19, 2023 Travis Hunter is out 3 weeks, so that may hurt the line some. I don’t think Oregon is that good though. 21 is too high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatMack19 Posted September 21, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2023 Kansas is favored by 9.5 over BYU in football? Did I miss something? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 21, 2023 Report Share Posted September 21, 2023 20 minutes ago, PhatMack19 said: Kansas is favored by 9.5 over BYU in football? Did I miss something? BYU is not good but I would have that line at 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 22, 2023 Report Share Posted September 22, 2023 6 hours ago, PhatMack19 said: Kansas is favored by 9.5 over BYU in football? Did I miss something? Pretty weird line considering BYU just beat Arkansas on the road and Kansas struggled with Nevada Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 22, 2023 Report Share Posted September 22, 2023 My plays for the week: Purdue +5.5 vs Wisconsin Clemson +2 vs Florida State SMU +6.5 vs TCU Oregon -21 vs Colorado Ole Miss/Alabama Over 55.5 Utah -6 vs UCLA BYU/Kansas Over 54.5 Arkansas/LSU Over 55 Washington State +3 vs Oregon State Ohio State/Notre Dame Over 55.5 Texas/Baylor Over 49.5 Minnesota -11.5 vs Northwestern Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 22, 2023 Report Share Posted September 22, 2023 22 minutes ago, BEARCPA said: My plays for the week: Purdue +5.5 vs Wisconsin Clemson +2 vs Florida State SMU +6.5 vs TCU Oregon -21 vs Colorado Ole Miss/Alabama Over 55.5 Utah -6 vs UCLA BYU/Kansas Over 54.5 Arkansas/LSU Over 55 Washington State +3 vs Oregon State Ohio State/Notre Dame Over 55.5 Texas/Baylor Over 49.5 Minnesota -11.5 vs Northwestern In bold a few from this list I went with this week. I also went with these: A&M -8 Texas St. -17 Houston -12 Memphis/Mizzou over 51.5 Miss St./SC over 47 North Carolina -7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 22, 2023 Report Share Posted September 22, 2023 6 hours ago, AggiesAreWe said: In bold a few from this list I went with this week. I also went with these: A&M -8 Texas St. -17 Houston -12 Memphis/Mizzou over 51.5 Miss St./SC over 47 North Carolina -7.5 Good call with UCLA, that spread has moved down to 3.5 since this morning. Looks like Rising will be out again. Darn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxHoops Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 On 9/19/2023 at 10:47 AM, AggiesAreWe said: The 2.5 for FSU is a bit odd. I think the 7.5 is a good number for A&M. Oregon being 21 point favorites is a little surprising. Would have put it at 17.5 The fishy line theory hasn’t worked too well the first couple of weeks but it’s about the best indicator you can find in sports betting. There were three games last weekend and they went either 0-2-1 or 1-2 with John Q Public getting the best of it. But when you have a line like this one and all the fish are on FSU and it ain’t moving, as you know, that means the sharps are on Clemson. I rarely wager anymore unless I’m at a casino but I wouldn’t touch FSU with a 10 foot pole. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxHoops Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Very, very few guys can get rich sports betting. You will never know for certain who the Billy Walters and Bob Voulgaris’ of the world are betting because they won’t tell you and can’t (or don’t) place their own wagers (they pay runners to do so). The best you can do is try to connect the dots by finding games where the public is heavy on one side yet the line either doesn’t move or even moves the other way. Just a 2 cent opinion by someone who was never worth a darn picking games himself 😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hook'em Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Betting OU -14 which makes me sick to do but think they’ll roll also Oregon St -2.5, UNC -6.5, and got in on Texas at -13.5 early in the week before the line got to -17 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatMack19 Posted September 23, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 A&M Qb is out. Not much happening on offense for either team in the 1st half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatMack19 Posted September 23, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 TD pass to his brother. Pretty awesome 13-3 Ags Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhatMack19 Posted September 23, 2023 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Max on fire 20-3 Ags Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baddog Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 That has to be the best pass TD I’ve seen in a long time. Laid it right in there between two defenders. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 5 hours ago, TxHoops said: Very, very few guys can get rich sports betting. You will never know for certain who the Billy Walters and Bob Voulgaris’ of the world are betting because they won’t tell you and can’t (or don’t) place their own wagers (they pay runners to do so). The best you can do is try to connect the dots by finding games where the public is heavy on one side yet the line either doesn’t move or even moves the other way. Just a 2 cent opinion by someone who was never worth a darn picking games himself 😂 I am certainly nowhere near those guys level, but I did finish last football season a +2950. Basketball was only a +345. I don't bet baseball. TxHoops 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AggiesAreWe Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 1 minute ago, baddog said: That has to be the best pass TD I’ve seen in a long time. Laid it right in there between two defenders. Heck of a catch too. baddog 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 5 hours ago, TxHoops said: The fishy line theory hasn’t worked too well the first couple of weeks but it’s about the best indicator you can find in sports betting. There were three games last weekend and they went either 0-2-1 or 1-2 with John Q Public getting the best of it. But when you have a line like this one and all the fish are on FSU and it ain’t moving, as you know, that means the sharps are on Clemson. I rarely wager anymore unless I’m at a casino but I wouldn’t touch FSU with a 10 foot pole. Yeah the square bets have been surprisingly successful in college football so far this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baddog Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Florida St. tied with Clemson @ 24 with 11:00 left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARCPA Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Of course Dabo trots out a walk on kicker that misses a gimmie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baddog Posted September 23, 2023 Report Share Posted September 23, 2023 Just think if he hadn’t stumbled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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