'25 5AD1 Playoff Projections

[AledoAlumni]

Still several weeks to go but wanted to throw this together. Rough idea how things are looking.



W1 El Paso El Dorado vs F2 Lubbock Monterey
R4 Fort Worth Wyatt vs T3 Richland
W2 Abilene vs F1 El Paso Bel Air
R3 Denton Ryan vs T4 Saginaw
W3 Aledo vs F4 Chisholm Trail
R2 Amarillo Tascosa vs T1 El Paso Parkland
W4 Arlington Heights  vs F3 Brewer
R1 El Paso Americas vs T2 Amarillo

W5 Frisco Lone Star vs F6 North Mesquite
R8 Georgetown East View vs T7 Burleson Centennial
W6  West Mesquite vs F5 Frisco
R7 Midlothian  vs T8 Lake Belton
W7 Highland Park vs F8 Cedar Park
R6  Carrollton Creekview vs T5 Frisco Reedy
W8 Georgetown  vs F7 Red Oak
R5 Frisco Wakeland  vs T6 Carrollton Newman Smith

W9 Port Arthur Memorial  vs F10 Houston Sterling
R12 A&M Consolidated vs T11 Crosby
W10 Houston Madison vs F9 Barbers Hill
R11 La Porte vs T12 Pflugerville Weiss 
W11 Angleton vs F12 College Station
R10 Houston Westbury vs T9 Baytown Sterling
W12 Austin Anderson  vs F11 New Caney Porter
R9 Lufkin vs T10 Houston Waltrip

W13 Smithson Valley vs F14 Laredo Nixon
R16 McAllen Memorial vs T15 CC Veterans Memorial
W14 Southwest Legacy vs F13 Boerne-Champion
R15 PSJA North vs T16 McAllen Rowe
W15 Flour Bluff vs F16 McAllen 
R14 Northside Jay vs T13 New Braunfels
W16 Edinburg Vela vs F15 Weslaco East
R13 Comal Pieper vs T14 SA Southwest

[AledoAlumni]

Couple of notes:

Abilene and Tascosa are going to play for the district championship.

Frisco and McKinney North still play most likely for the final spot.

North Mesquite and Dallas White still need to play and the winner should get the final spot.

West Mesquite, Carrollton Creekview, and Carrollton Newman Smith are all 5-0 in district.

District 7 is going to be really fun down the stretch! I'm only confident in Highland Park winning. Midlothian, Centennial, Red Oak, Tyler are all fighting for 3 spots. They all have their destiny in their own hands for now. Gotta win!!

Cedar Park is in a interesting position, I think they could go 3-0 and win district or 0-3 and miss the playoffs if other games play out a certain way.

Friendswood, Porter, and Kingwood Park all play each other. Best record from the games will get the last playoff spot.

The most surprising team for me this year is Austin Anderson. Quietly 7-0 beating both College Station schools.

Flour Bluff and PSJA North should be a great game for 1st place in district.

[pakronos]

4 hours ago, AledoAlumni said:

Still several weeks to go but wanted to throw this together. Rough idea how things are looking.



W1 El Paso El Dorado vs F2 Lubbock Monterey
R4 Fort Worth Wyatt vs T3 Richland
W2 Abilene vs F1 El Paso Bel Air
R3 Denton Ryan vs T4 Saginaw
W3 Aledo vs F4 Chisholm Trail
R2 Amarillo Tascosa vs T1 El Paso Parkland
W4 Arlington Heights  vs F3 Brewer
R1 El Paso Americas vs T2 Amarillo

W5 Frisco Lone Star vs F6 North Mesquite
R8 Georgetown East View vs T7 Burleson Centennial
W6  West Mesquite vs F5 Frisco
R7 Midlothian  vs T8 Lake Belton
W7 Highland Park vs F8 Cedar Park
R6  Carrollton Creekview vs T5 Frisco Reedy
W8 Georgetown  vs F7 Red Oak
R5 Frisco Wakeland  vs T6 Carrollton Newman Smith

W9 Port Arthur Memorial  vs F10 Houston Sterling
R12 A&M Consolidated vs T11 Crosby
W10 Houston Madison vs F9 Barbers Hill
R11 La Porte vs T12 Pflugerville Weiss 
W11 Angleton vs F12 College Station
R10 Houston Westbury vs T9 Baytown Sterling
W12 Austin Anderson  vs F11 New Caney Porter
R9 Lufkin vs T10 Houston Waltrip

W13 Smithson Valley vs F14 Laredo Nixon
R16 McAllen Memorial vs T15 CC Veterans Memorial
W14 Southwest Legacy vs F13 Boerne-Champion
R15 PSJA North vs T16 McAllen Rowe
W15 Flour Bluff vs F16 McAllen 
R14 Northside Jay vs T13 New Braunfels
W16 Edinburg Vela vs F15 Weslaco East
R13 Comal Pieper vs T14 SA Southwest

I would swap Baytown Sterling for west Brook. Westbrook has the more favorable schedule and they beat sterling already. Sterling lost 2 and haven’t played PAM yet

[AledoAlumni]

34 minutes ago, pakronos said:

I would swap Baytown Sterling for west Brook. Westbrook has the more favorable schedule and they beat sterling already. Sterling lost 2 and haven’t played PAM yet

So you think BH still 4th or they move up and WB 4th?

[Austin1985]

46 minutes ago, AledoAlumni said:

So you think BH still 4th or they move up and WB 4th?

I think WB could beat BH straight up 

[pakronos]

14 hours ago, AledoAlumni said:

So you think BH still 4th or they move up and WB 4th?

PAM, Lufkin, WB, BH. BH gotta win out, but I don't see the beating WB.

 

[AledoAlumni]

3 minutes ago, pakronos said:

PAM, Lufkin, WB, BH. BH gotta win out, but I don't see the beating WB.

 

I was going to update it but it wont let me edit. So I'll update it when I make an overall update next week. 

[Austin1985]

55 minutes ago, AledoAlumni said:

I was going to update it but it wont let me edit. So I'll update it when I make an overall update next week. 

Just make an update every saturday going forward if you have the time.  Cuz I can see a senerio which it's PA, Lufkin, WB and Sterling.....

[AledoAlumni]

I think whoever is 3rd in District 11 has the toughest playoff path in all of Texas. Potentially the path would be A&M Consolidated at their place round 1. Then PAM would be a fun round 2. After that you most likely will be rewarded with La Porte. 4th round Angleton awaits lol. Then defending champ Smithson Valley. After all of that, you made it to state playing Aledo/Frisco Lone Star/Highland Park. Legitimately I dont think anyone outside of the top 10 in 6A could go 6-0 with that schedule.  

[pakronos]

13 hours ago, Austin1985 said:

Just make an update every saturday going forward if you have the time.  Cuz I can see a senerio which it's PA, Lufkin, WB and Sterling.....

with baytown remaining schedule, i don't see them winning out. I don't see PAM laying down  especially if they are undefeated. At best they might have 3 wins. BH has a more favorable schedule  with the last game against brook. i can't call that one. Brook should win, but if BH back is against the wall, you never know.