Matthew328

Looked like he walked off under his own power

just kick out of bounds instead of kicking to that guy

I think most who pay attention can go statewide picking winners at a 65-70% clip depending on the year...I run at around 70% on the small sample that I pick...but I'm also picking the marquee games with typically smaller margins...the computer running at +80% for 5 yrs is pretty salty....I think that'd be hard to find a person doing that for that long that consistently

Only thing I've seen is picking winners and over a 5 year average its just just shy if 81% in the regular season...playoffs go down to just above 64% which makes sense... I'd probably have to have an excel wizard do some work to get a variance based on the predicted spread

Computer model also gets a ton right..but typically its only the misses they remember..saying H-J would beat Shepherd isn't some off the wall prediction...its in my view totally plausible in a hypothetical world

There's not

Schools always can opt up to play closer to home....so for example PNG could opt up to D1 and play in 9-5A D1

Shepherd in our computer models is a 4-point favorite over H-J not unrealistic by any means

I know La Porte has a really good freshman RB but I'm guessing they dont think he's ready for varsity yet....I think if they had a back even close to Ruffin they'd move Ruffin back to defense full-time and only use him sparingly on offense....I also think in the playoffs regardless we'll see Ruffin and Smith get snaps in key moments in the secondary....

I believe it was just the 2nd Qtr when Duron got hurt, if thats when it happened, my guess was the plan was probably to pull him at halftime...its unfortunate for Angleton....

competitive equity....if you have a district say 7-4A D1 and those teams were all in the same combined district you'd have a school with 1,200 kids in the D2 bracket because the top 3 teams are all over 1,200 playing schools with 600 kids....huge difference Its the biggest complaint about 6A is occasionally you'll get a really large school go D2 (Katy for example) and they dominate

Computer doesnt factor in injuries.... Wonder if Angleton throws out Jammer in some wildcat QB packages just to ensure he has the ball in his hands

There's good arguments on both sides of it...there's a lot of 6A people clammoring for splitting too... Bottom line is more supts want the split for football than dont...until there's enough in a class that ask the UIL to change they won't...same in 6A....enough supts are happy not being split that it wont change

if H-J stayed D2 they'd be a playoff team this year IMO

All 10-14 point games aren't created equally....but also I shoulda clarified I'm not sold on Montgomery being elite...I think they are a good team...probably top 15, at worst top 20 in 5A-D2...but not sure they are top 5 level

I expect PNG to win this by 10-14 points....I'm not 100% sold on Montgomery yet...

We used to try and collect early but then we'd have to correct #s after the fact and it was a PiA So we aren't asking for any numbers until mid-week and hoping they are finalized

Celina's going 5A though lol

Since Allen and Prosper moved to 1pm...I'm gonna do the 8pm game at the Ford Center between Frisco Lone Star and Frisco Wakeland 4 teams I'm seeing Friday are a combined 29-0

There's only one East Texas school in Region 2 (Tyler) It's closer for Lufkin to go south than it is to go to DFW

Port Arthur Memorial is favored by 17 in our computer

Definitely a typo...LaPorte is a 12 point favorite

Thur: Beckville at Hawkins Fri. Allen at Prosper Sat. Houston Stratford at Cy Falls

Thursday: Frisco vs Frisco Wakeland Friday: Paris at Sulphur Springs Saturday: Dallas Carter vs Dallas Kimball

I think it'll stay R3 but check back when I do my mock realignment lol