Goblin

WOS 47
Scarborough 0
HALF

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This begs the question. Do you miss the old Beaumont High Purples and South Park Greenies ? Beaumont, South Park and TJ had rivalries going back to 1909.

Dallas Lincoln?  That's kind of random.  Tell me more.

Dallas Lincoln?  That's kind of random.  Tell me more.

This begs the question. Do you miss the old Beaumont High Purples and South Park Greenies ? Beaumont, South Park and TJ had rivalries going back to 1909.

This begs the question. Do you miss the old Beaumont High Purples and South Park Greenies ? Beaumont, South Park and TJ had rivalries going back to 1909.

La Marque's morale is down but they handled Worthing the two times they played... I'd be very surprised if H-J came close to beating them.  LM should be able to get to the 2nd round where they'd meet Caldwell, or Giddings if Caldwell pulls off the upset this week. I predict a WOS gauntlet through District 11 after Scarborough.  La Grange, Caldwell and Giddings to get to the Semis. I hope I'm wrong.  That's a rough road.  I think H-F and OF both have a chance against Bellville, whichever one gets there.

I know it doesnt compare to WOS but I counted up PNG's just because of the interest brought up by reading this. PNG is at 187 shutouts.... 

There seems to be multiple numbers thrown out there on where we actually are.  I have us at 99 with a very likely 100 coming up against Scarborough.  Please correct me if you see any wrong numbers. So far I count 99 shutouts in 457 total games played which is 21.66% of all games played being shutout wins.
 
1977
1. Beaumont Charlton-Pollard 60-0
2. Beaumont Forest Park 21-0
1978
3. Houston Sterling 10-0
4. Houston Worthing 27-0
1979
5. Beaumont French 32-0
1980
6. Houston Worthing 35-0
7. Beaumont Forest Park 6-0
1981
8. Houston Stratford 32-0
9. Houston Worthing 38-0
10. Beaumont French 34-0
11. Port Arthur Lincoln 14-0
12. Nederland 7-0
1982
13. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 7-0
14. Houston Westbury 9-0
15. Beaumont Charlton-Pollard 72-0
1983
16. Beaumont South Park 23-0
17. Beaumont Charlton-Pollard 21-0
1984
18. Nederland 23-0
1985
19. Houston Westbury 40-0
20. Vidor 24-0
1986
21. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 15-0
22. Dickinson 17-0
1987
23. Vidor 33-0
24. Bridge City 35-0
25. Port Arthur Lincoln 52-0
26. Jasper 3-0
27. Wharton 33-0
1988
28. Newton 24-0
29. Bridge City 20-0
30. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 56-0
31. Port Arthur Lincoln 30-0
32. Port Neches-Groves 51-0
33. Katy Mayde Creek 14-0
1989
34. Port Arthur Lincoln 29-0
1990
35. Nederland 55-0
1991
36. Bay City 21-0
1992
37. Vidor 35-0
38. Silsbee 33-0
1993
39. Vidor 35-0
40. Port Arthur Lincoln 84-0
41. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 42-0
1995
42. Jasper 37-0
43. Bridge City 48-0
1996
44. Lumberton 49-0
1997
45. Newton 30-0
46. Vidor 63-0
47. Port Arthur Lincoln 39-0
48. Port Neches-Groves 35-0
49. Brownsboro 16-0
1998
50. Newton 10-0
51. Silsbee 17-0
52. Willis 29-0
53. Vidor 68-0
1999
54. Newton 18-0
55. Bridge City 35-0
56. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 28-0
2000
57. Lamar Consolidated 31-0
58. Port Neches-Groves 7-0
59. Port Arthur Jefferson 14-0
60. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 53-0
61. Jasper 23-0
62. Magnolia 36-0
2001
63. Lamar Consolidated 33-0
64. Port Neches-Groves 28-0
2002
65. Port Neches-Groves 3-0
2004
66. Beaumont Central 44-0
67. Orangefield 56-0
2006
68. Hamshire-Fannett 54-0
69. Hardin-Jefferson 62-0
70. Jasper 40-0
71. Liberty 60-0
2007
72. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 6-0
73. Hardin-Jefferson 64-0
74. Bridge City 73-0
2008
75. Hamshire-Fannett 66-0
76. Hardin-Jefferson 40-0
77. Orangefield 67-0
2009
78. Hamshire-Fannett 62-0
2010
79. Hamshire-Fannett 63-0
80. Bridge City 28-0
81. Hardin-Jefferson 70-0
2012
82. Little Cypress-Mauriceville 18-0
83. Beaumont Central 14-0
84. Hamshire-Fannett 44-0
85. Hardin-Jefferson 49-0
86. Orangefield 54-0
87. Buna 40-0
88. Bridge City 46-0
89. Cleveland 57-0
90. Lorena 28-0
2013
91. Buna 42-0
92. Silsbee 27-0
2014
93. Silsbee 35-0
94. Houston Scarborough 64-0
95. La Marque 34-0
2015
96. Jasper 53-0
97. Liberty 49-0
98. Hamshire-Fannett 35-0
99.  Hardin-Jefferson 48-0
 
 
 
 

Here's what the bottom half of the Statewide bracket is shaping up to be in 4A Division 2
Scores This Week in Region III
WOS 48, Hardin-Jefferson 0
Hamshire-Fannett 34, Liberty 0
LaMarque 47, Worthing 22
Kashmere vs Scarborough (Sat.)
Giddings 52, Smithville 14
La Grange 35, Salado 0
Bellville 24, Columbus 22
Sweeny 57, Brookshire Royal 34
District 9
West Orange-Stark (9-1, 4-0) 
Hamshire-Fannett (6-3, 2-1) - still has to play Orangefield
Orangefield (5-4, 2-1) - still has to play H-F
Liberty (3-6, 0-3) - still has to play H-J
Hardin-Jefferson (2-7, 0-3) - still has to play Liberty
My predictions: 1. WOS, 2. Hamshire-Fannett, 3. Orangefield, 4. Hardin-Jefferson 
District 10
LaMarque (8-2, 3-0) 
Worthing (7-3, 2-1) 
Kashmere (2-7, 0-2) - still has to play Scarborough
Scarborough (1-8, 0-2) - still has to play Kashmere
My predictions 1. LaMarque, 2. Worthing, 3. Kashmere, 4. Scarborough
District 11
Caldwell (6-3, 3-0) - still has to play Giddings
Giddings (9-0, 3-0) - still has to play Caldwell
LaGrange (7-3, 2-2) 
Smithville (1-8, 0-3) - still has to play Salado
Salado (0-8, 0-3) - still has to play Smithville
My predictions 1. Giddings, 2. Caldwell, 3. LaGrange, 4. Smithville 
District 12
Bellville (8-2, 4-0) 
Wharton (6-3, 2-1) - still has to play Sweeny
Columbus (4-5, 1-2) - still has to play Brookshire
Sweeny (2-7, 1-2) - still has to play Wharton
Brookshire (2-7, 0-3) - still has to play Columbus
My predictions 1. Bellville, 2. Wharton, 3. Columbus, 4. Sweeny
My Current Region III playoff projections:
9-1st WOS vs 10-4th Scarborough
12-2nd Wharton vs 11-3rd LaGrange
10-1st LaMarque vs 9-4th Hardin-Jefferson
11-2nd Caldwell vs 12-3rd Columbus
11-1st Giddings vs 12-4th Sweeny
10-2nd Worthing vs 9-3rd Orangefield
12-1st Bellville vs 11-4th Smithville
9-2nd Hamshire-Fannett vs 10-3rd Kashmere
 
Scores This Week in Region IV
Llano 32, Hondo 20
Navarro 45, Wimberley 14 
Crystal City 30, Pearsall 28
Devine 36, Poteet 6
Cuero 41, Ingleside 16
Yoakum 48, Jourdanton 0
CC West Oso 50, Progreso 3
Orange Grove 36, Port Isabel 14
Rio Hondo 35, Raymondville 21 
District 13
Navarro (8-0, 3-0) - still has to play Llano
Wimberley (3-7, 3-1) 
Lytle (3-6, 1-2) - still has to play Hondo
Llano (3-6, 1-2) - still has to play Navarro
Hondo (1-8, 0-3) - still has to play Lytle
My predictions: 1. Navarro, 2. Wimberley, 3. Lytle, 4. Llano
District 14
Devine (8-1, 3-0) - still has to play Pearsall
Crystal City (8-2, 3-1) 
Pearsall (8-1, 2-1) - still has to play Devine   
Poteet (3-6, 0-3) - still has to play Carrizo Springs
Carrizo Springs (1-8, 0-3) - still has to play Poteet
My predictions 1. Devine, 2. Crystal City, 3. Pearsall, 4. Carrizo Springs (Carrizo beat Pleasanton and came within 8 of Crystal City, Poteet lost to Pleasanton and lost by 35 to Crystal City)
District 15
Sinton (8-0, 3-0) - still has to play Ingleside
Cuero (4-5, 2-1) - still has to play Jourdanton
Yoakum (5-5, 2-2) 
Ingleside (2-7, 1-2) - still has to play Sinton
Jourdanton (3-6, 0-3) - still has to play Cuero
My predictions 1. Sinton, 2. Cuero, 3. Yoakum, 4. Ingleside 
District 16
Orange Grove (8-0, 4-0) - still has to play CC West Oso
Rio Hondo (6-2, 3-1) - still has to play Progreso
Port Isabel (5-3, 2-2) - still has to play Raymondville
Raymondville (4-4, 2-2) - still has to play Port Isabel
CC West Oso (2-7, 1-3) - still has to play Orange Grove
Progreso (1-7, 0-4) - still has to play Rio Hondo
My predictions 1. Orange Grove, 2. Rio Hondo, 3. Port Isabel, 4. Raymondville
My Current Region III playoff projections:
13-1st Navarro vs 14-4th Carrizo Springs
16-2nd Rio Hondo vs 15-3rd Yoakum
14-1st Devine vs 13-4th Llano
15-2nd Cuero vs 16-3rd Port Isabel
15-1st Sinton vs 16-4th Raymondville
14-2nd Crystal City vs 13-3rd Lytle
16-1st Orange Grove vs 15-4th Ingleside
13-2nd Wimberley vs 14-3rd Pearsall

Scarborough hasn't actually "clinched" the 4th playoff spot. They play Kashmere today at 6pm and if by some chance they beat Kashmere then it would be WOS vs Kashmere. That's very unlikely to happen but stranger things have occurred.  I know the LaGrange folk are already preparing for a rematch with WOS in round 2 over on another site. Play nice guys as some of you are already riling them up and that game is 3 weeks away if it even occurs lol.

They rescheduled for 2pm today. 14-14 currently. Navarro has only allowed 40 points total coming into this game. They've got their eyes set on WOS for a semifinal matchup. They might be in a little over their heads given how they've already pissed off Sinton and that entire district calling them overrated. That's the easiest was to get a target on your back.

Scarborough hasn't actually "clinched" the 4th playoff spot. They play Kashmere today at 6pm and if by some chance they beat Kashmere then it would be WOS vs Kashmere. That's very unlikely to happen but stranger things have occurred.  I know the LaGrange folk are already preparing for a rematch with WOS in round 2 over on another site. Play nice guys as some of you are already riling them up and that game is 3 weeks away if it even occurs lol.

And the 6000ish enrollment Planos, Allen, Woodlands don't belong with the 2200 LaPorte. There's no easy answer.

WOS is looking good.  Only 2 opponents we've played so far currently have losing records. 
LCM 3-6
PNG 6-2
Jasper 5-3
Silsbee 6-2
Richmond Foster 6-2
Newton 4-4
Liberty 3-5
Orangefield 5-4
Hamshire-Fannett 5-3
 
WOS also wins their 33rd consecutive district game breaking the tie with the 32 game streak we had from 2003-2008.  The longest streak though was 37 from 1986-1992 although it's less than that if you factor in the forfeited games from 1992.
 
I just hope we don't get complacent given we pretty much have an automatic 2nd round spot waiting for us 4 weeks from now against LaGrange or Wharton.

FYI
 
Giddings 31
LaGrange 13
3rd Q
 
Looks like we'll play the winner of LaGrange/Wharton in Round 2

WOS missed the playoffs in 2001, 2002 and 2003 as one of the smallest 4A schools in the state.  Both 2002 and 2003 going 8-2 and losing out in a 3-way tie for 1st.
The streaks we have that are rather impressive is not having had a losing season since 1983 and winning 64 out of our past 65 district games.  We won 32 in a row from 2003-2008, lost 1 to Silsbee, and as of this week have yet another 32 game district winning streak going.
We've also gone 143 consecutive games without being shutout dating back to a 0-17 loss to Bay City in 2004.

WOS missed the playoffs in 2001, 2002 and 2003 as one of the smallest 4A schools in the state.  Both 2002 and 2003 going 8-2 and losing out in a 3-way tie for 1st.
The streaks we have that are rather impressive is not having had a losing season since 1983 and winning 64 out of our past 65 district games.  We won 32 in a row from 2003-2008, lost 1 to Silsbee, and as of this week have yet another 32 game district winning streak going.
We've also gone 143 consecutive games without being shutout dating back to a 0-17 loss to Bay City in 2004.

WOS missed the playoffs in 2001, 2002 and 2003 as one of the smallest 4A schools in the state.  Both 2002 and 2003 going 8-2 and losing out in a 3-way tie for 1st.
The streaks we have that are rather impressive is not having had a losing season since 1983 and winning 64 out of our past 65 district games.  We won 32 in a row from 2003-2008, lost 1 to Silsbee, and as of this week have yet another 32 game district winning streak going.
We've also gone 143 consecutive games without being shutout dating back to a 0-17 loss to Bay City in 2004.

Districts 9, 10 and 12 are ALMOST set in stone except for the Orangefield vs Hamshire-Fannett game or barring a HUGE upset. Wharton losing to Bellville and LaGrange losing to Caldwell tonight threw a huge monkey wrench into things pretty much guaranteeing Wharton will finish 2nd in D12.  LaGrange could still get the top seed in D11 if they win over Giddings by enough points and Giddings beats Caldwell.  Liberty, Brookshire and Salado once again appear to be the three teams that won't make the big show although I wouldn't put it past Liberty to give Hardin-Jefferson a run for their money in that game.  District 11 could end up with LG, Giddings and Caldwell at any of 1, 2 or 3 and Smithville is a shoe-in for 4th.  No matter what the outcome Wharton just landed in probably the most difficult slot in the bracket by losing tonight and WOS will have their hands full no matter who they end up against in Round 2 (again barring a HUGE upset).
District 9
West Orange-Stark (7-1, 2-0) - still has to play H-F and H-J
Hamshire-Fannett (5-2, 1-0) - still has to play WOS, Liberty and Orangefield
Orangefield (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Liberty and H-F
Liberty (3-4, 0-1) - still has to play Orangefield, H-F and H-J
Hardin-Jefferson (2-6, 0-2) - still has to play WOS and Liberty
My predictions: 1. WOS, 2. Hamshire-Fannett, 3. Orangefield, 4. Hardin-Jefferson (H-F and Orangefield could go either way for #2)
District 10 
LaMarque (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Kashmere and Worthing
Worthing (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Scarborough and LaMarque
Kashmere (2-6, 0-1) - still has to play LaMarque and Scarborough
Scarborough (1-7, 0-1) - still has to play Worthing and Kashmere
My predictions 1. LaMarque, 2. Worthing, 3. Kashmere, 4. Scarborough
District 11
Caldwell (5-3, 2-0) - still has to play Smithville and Giddings
Giddings (7-0, 1-0) - still has to play LaGrange, Smithville and Caldwell
LaGrange (6-2, 1-1) - still has to play Giddings and Salado
Smithville (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Caldwell, Giddings and Salado
Salado (0-7, 0-2) - still has to play LaGrange and Smithville
My predictions 1. Giddings, 2. Caldwell, 3. LaGrange, 4. Smithville (If LaGrange beats Giddings and Giddings beats Caldwell this could easily end up in a 3-way tie)
District 12
Bellville (6-2, 2-0) - still has to play Sweeny and Columbus
Wharton (5-3, 1-1) - still has to play Brookshire and Sweeny
Columbus (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Bellville and Brookshire
Sweeny (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Bellville, Brookshire and Wharton
Brookshire (2-5, 0-1) - still has to play Wharton, Sweeny and Columbus
My predictions 1. Bellville, 2. Wharton, 3. Columbus, 4. Sweeny
My Current Region III playoff projections:
9-1st WOS vs 10-4th Scarborough
12-2nd Wharton vs 11-3rd LaGrange
10-1st LaMarque vs 9-4th Hardin-Jefferson
11-2nd Caldwell vs 12-3rd Columbus
11-1st Giddings vs 12-4th Sweeny
10-2nd Worthing vs 9-3rd Orangefield
12-1st Bellville vs 11-4th Smithville
9-2nd Hamshire-Fannett vs 10-3rd Kashmere

Districts 9, 10 and 12 are ALMOST set in stone except for the Orangefield vs Hamshire-Fannett game or barring a HUGE upset. Wharton losing to Bellville and LaGrange losing to Caldwell tonight threw a huge monkey wrench into things pretty much guaranteeing Wharton will finish 2nd in D12.  LaGrange could still get the top seed in D11 if they win over Giddings by enough points and Giddings beats Caldwell.  Liberty, Brookshire and Salado once again appear to be the three teams that won't make the big show although I wouldn't put it past Liberty to give Hardin-Jefferson a run for their money in that game.  District 11 could end up with LG, Giddings and Caldwell at any of 1, 2 or 3 and Smithville is a shoe-in for 4th.  No matter what the outcome Wharton just landed in probably the most difficult slot in the bracket by losing tonight and WOS will have their hands full no matter who they end up against in Round 2 (again barring a HUGE upset).
District 9
West Orange-Stark (7-1, 2-0) - still has to play H-F and H-J
Hamshire-Fannett (5-2, 1-0) - still has to play WOS, Liberty and Orangefield
Orangefield (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Liberty and H-F
Liberty (3-4, 0-1) - still has to play Orangefield, H-F and H-J
Hardin-Jefferson (2-6, 0-2) - still has to play WOS and Liberty
My predictions: 1. WOS, 2. Hamshire-Fannett, 3. Orangefield, 4. Hardin-Jefferson (H-F and Orangefield could go either way for #2)
District 10 
LaMarque (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Kashmere and Worthing
Worthing (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Scarborough and LaMarque
Kashmere (2-6, 0-1) - still has to play LaMarque and Scarborough
Scarborough (1-7, 0-1) - still has to play Worthing and Kashmere
My predictions 1. LaMarque, 2. Worthing, 3. Kashmere, 4. Scarborough
District 11
Caldwell (5-3, 2-0) - still has to play Smithville and Giddings
Giddings (7-0, 1-0) - still has to play LaGrange, Smithville and Caldwell
LaGrange (6-2, 1-1) - still has to play Giddings and Salado
Smithville (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Caldwell, Giddings and Salado
Salado (0-7, 0-2) - still has to play LaGrange and Smithville
My predictions 1. Giddings, 2. Caldwell, 3. LaGrange, 4. Smithville (If LaGrange beats Giddings and Giddings beats Caldwell this could easily end up in a 3-way tie)
District 12
Bellville (6-2, 2-0) - still has to play Sweeny and Columbus
Wharton (5-3, 1-1) - still has to play Brookshire and Sweeny
Columbus (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Bellville and Brookshire
Sweeny (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Bellville, Brookshire and Wharton
Brookshire (2-5, 0-1) - still has to play Wharton, Sweeny and Columbus
My predictions 1. Bellville, 2. Wharton, 3. Columbus, 4. Sweeny
My Current Region III playoff projections:
9-1st WOS vs 10-4th Scarborough
12-2nd Wharton vs 11-3rd LaGrange
10-1st LaMarque vs 9-4th Hardin-Jefferson
11-2nd Caldwell vs 12-3rd Columbus
11-1st Giddings vs 12-4th Sweeny
10-2nd Worthing vs 9-3rd Orangefield
12-1st Bellville vs 11-4th Smithville
9-2nd Hamshire-Fannett vs 10-3rd Kashmere

Districts 9, 10 and 12 are ALMOST set in stone except for the Orangefield vs Hamshire-Fannett game or barring a HUGE upset. Wharton losing to Bellville and LaGrange losing to Caldwell tonight threw a huge monkey wrench into things pretty much guaranteeing Wharton will finish 2nd in D12.  LaGrange could still get the top seed in D11 if they win over Giddings by enough points and Giddings beats Caldwell.  Liberty, Brookshire and Salado once again appear to be the three teams that won't make the big show although I wouldn't put it past Liberty to give Hardin-Jefferson a run for their money in that game.  District 11 could end up with LG, Giddings and Caldwell at any of 1, 2 or 3 and Smithville is a shoe-in for 4th.  No matter what the outcome Wharton just landed in probably the most difficult slot in the bracket by losing tonight and WOS will have their hands full no matter who they end up against in Round 2 (again barring a HUGE upset).
District 9
West Orange-Stark (7-1, 2-0) - still has to play H-F and H-J
Hamshire-Fannett (5-2, 1-0) - still has to play WOS, Liberty and Orangefield
Orangefield (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Liberty and H-F
Liberty (3-4, 0-1) - still has to play Orangefield, H-F and H-J
Hardin-Jefferson (2-6, 0-2) - still has to play WOS and Liberty
My predictions: 1. WOS, 2. Hamshire-Fannett, 3. Orangefield, 4. Hardin-Jefferson (H-F and Orangefield could go either way for #2)
District 10 
LaMarque (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Kashmere and Worthing
Worthing (6-2, 1-0) - still has to play Scarborough and LaMarque
Kashmere (2-6, 0-1) - still has to play LaMarque and Scarborough
Scarborough (1-7, 0-1) - still has to play Worthing and Kashmere
My predictions 1. LaMarque, 2. Worthing, 3. Kashmere, 4. Scarborough
District 11
Caldwell (5-3, 2-0) - still has to play Smithville and Giddings
Giddings (7-0, 1-0) - still has to play LaGrange, Smithville and Caldwell
LaGrange (6-2, 1-1) - still has to play Giddings and Salado
Smithville (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Caldwell, Giddings and Salado
Salado (0-7, 0-2) - still has to play LaGrange and Smithville
My predictions 1. Giddings, 2. Caldwell, 3. LaGrange, 4. Smithville (If LaGrange beats Giddings and Giddings beats Caldwell this could easily end up in a 3-way tie)
District 12
Bellville (6-2, 2-0) - still has to play Sweeny and Columbus
Wharton (5-3, 1-1) - still has to play Brookshire and Sweeny
Columbus (4-4, 1-1) - still has to play Bellville and Brookshire
Sweeny (1-6, 0-1) - still has to play Bellville, Brookshire and Wharton
Brookshire (2-5, 0-1) - still has to play Wharton, Sweeny and Columbus
My predictions 1. Bellville, 2. Wharton, 3. Columbus, 4. Sweeny
My Current Region III playoff projections:
9-1st WOS vs 10-4th Scarborough
12-2nd Wharton vs 11-3rd LaGrange
10-1st LaMarque vs 9-4th Hardin-Jefferson
11-2nd Caldwell vs 12-3rd Columbus
11-1st Giddings vs 12-4th Sweeny
10-2nd Worthing vs 9-3rd Orangefield
12-1st Bellville vs 11-4th Smithville
9-2nd Hamshire-Fannett vs 10-3rd Kashmere

Abilene Wylie has a LONG history of their enrollment numbers just BARELY being below the 4A/3A cutoff number (now 5A/4A) with conspiracy theorists saying it's due to their coach of 35+ years Hugh Sandifer having close ties with the UIL and having a lot of input into realignments as president of the THSCA. Highland Park  the same one classification up but more because of all the money in that district. Money talks. This was the first realignment since the 1970's or early 80's I think that Highland Park was put in the largest classification. They're usually one or two students below the cutoff. That's what he meant.
 
 
And WOS won't be dropping anytime soon if ever unless the city of Orange gets destroyed by another hurricane. We'd be much larger than we are if it weren't for the two punch of Rita then Ike.

Cy-Fair already has 10 6A high school programs with more to open shortly which will require either a return to the old Zone system or dividing them up between two districts.  It only makes sense to move Cy-Fair to Region II (which they've been in in the past) with more DFW teams moving to Region I.  If Fort Bend and Pearland continue to grow like they have been then they will eventually have to spread into Region IV.  I see no reason why Katy would move out of Region III.