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Ken Paxton Would Crush RINO Cornyn in Texas Senate Primary, Data Confirms.


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Posted

 

When you spend this kind of money this means you are scared!  What's interesting is that the last two weeks of the campaign,  Cornyn spent attacking Hunt.  He even put on a political ad in D.C. attacking Hunt.  Now that was strange!

Posted

So why did Cornyn just outpoll Paxton in the primary? 
 

Because “We the People” aren’t who they think they are. 
 

Y’all would hate Paxton for his corruption if he wasn’t sold out to Trump. Period.  That’s it.  That’s all it takes. “Prove your loyalty to the Cheeto and you’ll have ours” is what MAGA actually means.   
 

Typically a runoff favors the challenger. “Change” is a bigger motivation to vote than “keep the status quo.” I wonder if this runoff will be any different… I kinda think so. I don’t expect anybody from the Cornyn camp to switch to Paxton in May or vice versa. The two big questions in my mind are:

1.Hunt voters… they want change, but could have chosen Paxton-he was a much more likely win than hunt, but they didn’t. I suspect it’s because they just won’t vote Paxton. If less than half of Hunt voters turn back to Cornyn, he wins.  If those hunt voters stay home, Cornyn wins. Paxton needs most of the Hunt voters to flip Paxton if he wants to beat Cornyn, and I think that’s unlikely. 
 

2. But the real wild card is the voters who didn’t vote in the primaries. There isn’t a major primary in May, so they’re free to vote in the Rep senate runoff (if they didn’t vote in March) much like Rush had Repubs vote Hillary years ago. I also suspect that if the Dems can mobilize them, they’ll vote Paxton because he’s polling lower than Cornyn against Talarico.  If you see monstrous turnout (more than just r voters), it’ll favor Paxton. 
 

The main concern is who Trump selects to represent Texans, and if Texans are cool with some stupid yankee rapist/pedophlle selecting our local representation, but apparently Republicans are cool with that. What happens if Trump endorses Cornyn, Paxton won’t drop out, and Dems get behind Paxton in the runoff? How does Trump punish Texas in that scenario? Because you know that he will.  
 

This one is way more interesting to me than it should be. I’ll vote cornyn in May (if he’s still in) and Talarico in November if Paxton is the r candidate. 

Posted
26 minutes ago, TheMissingBand said:

So why did Cornyn just outpoll Paxton in the primary? 
 

Because “We the People” aren’t who they think they are. 
 

Y’all would hate Paxton for his corruption if he wasn’t sold out to Trump. Period.  That’s it.  That’s all it takes. “Prove your loyalty to the Cheeto and you’ll have ours” is what MAGA actually means.   
 

Typically a runoff favors the challenger. “Change” is a bigger motivation to vote than “keep the status quo.” I wonder if this runoff will be any different… I kinda think so. I don’t expect anybody from the Cornyn camp to switch to Paxton in May or vice versa. The two big questions in my mind are:

1.Hunt voters… they want change, but could have chosen Paxton-he was a much more likely win than hunt, but they didn’t. I suspect it’s because they just won’t vote Paxton. If less than half of Hunt voters turn back to Cornyn, he wins.  If those hunt voters stay home, Cornyn wins. Paxton needs most of the Hunt voters to flip Paxton if he wants to beat Cornyn, and I think that’s unlikely. 
 

2. But the real wild card is the Dem voters. They don’t have a major primary in May, so they’re free to switch over and vote in the Rep senate primary, much like Rush had Repubs vote Hillary years ago. I also suspect that if they organize, they’ll vote Paxton because he’s polling lower than Cornyn against Talarico.  If you see monstrous turnout (more than just r voters), it’ll favor Paxton. 
 

The main concern is who Trump selects to represent Texans, and if Texans are cool with some stupid yankee rapist/pedophlle selecting our local representation, but apparently Republicans are cool with that. What happens if Trump endorses Cornyn, Paxton won’t drop out, and Dems get behind Paxton in the runoff? How does Trump punish Texas in that scenario? Because you know that he will.  
 

This one is way more interesting to me than it should be. I’ll vote cornyn in May (if he’s still in) and Talarico in November if Paxton is the r candidate. 

If you voted in the Rep primary, you can only vote in the Rep runoff. Ditto for Dems. You can’t switch over for the runoff.

No idea where you’re getting your info. But, it’s wrong.

Posted

 

 

47 minutes ago, OlDawg said:

If you voted in the Rep primary, you can only vote in the Rep runoff. Ditto for Dems. You can’t switch over for the runoff.

No idea where you’re getting your info. But, it’s wrong.

Of course…. Everybody knows that. I wasn’t wrong, i just wasn’t clear. I edited it… see if it makes more sense. 

Posted
6 minutes ago, TheMissingBand said:

 

 

Of course…. Everybody knows that. I wasn’t wrong, i just wasn’t clear. I edited it… see if it makes more sense. 

That’s better. But, if they didn’t vote in the primary, I don’t really see a massive uptick in the runoff. Could be wrong though. Plus, there are some runoff races in the Dem Party they’ll want to vote on.

Posted
26 minutes ago, OlDawg said:

That’s better. But, if they didn’t vote in the primary, I don’t really see a massive uptick in the runoff. Could be wrong though. Plus, there are some runoff races in the Dem Party they’ll want to vote on.

That’s why I was taken aback when Paxton supporters came out in favor of closed primaries claiming that Ds crossed over and voted for Cornyn… I’m pretty sure that the type of Ds who would potentially cross over to raise havoc were all pretty heavily invested in the Talarico/Crockett race. 
 

But I can’t help but notice a theme. Every time there’s a policy proposed that would limit a citizen’s right or ability to vote, it always comes from the Rs. 

Posted
40 minutes ago, TheMissingBand said:

That’s why I was taken aback when Paxton supporters came out in favor of closed primaries claiming that Ds crossed over and voted for Cornyn… I’m pretty sure that the type of Ds who would potentially cross over to raise havoc were all pretty heavily invested in the Talarico/Crockett race. 
 

But I can’t help but notice a theme. Every time there’s a policy proposed that would limit a citizen’s right or ability to vote, it always comes from the Rs. 

A lot of conspiracy theories out there. I will say, I wish people would vet their sources better. A lot of misinformation and confusion sowed by outside players, or those just looking for sensationalism for hits.

Posted
12 minutes ago, OlDawg said:

A lot of conspiracy theories out there. I will say, I wish people would vet their sources better. A lot of misinformation and confusion sowed by outside players, or those just looking for sensationalism for hits.

What bugs me are the ones who know what they’re spreading is false, but keep doing it because they know that it will affect the outcome.  I think that’s why the voters punished Rhonda Ward in her race for SB3 vs Ashby. 
 

I went to a forum at a church in Hardin County and Ward got up and plainly stated “Ashby voted for x,y, and z.”  Ashby then stood up and said “I did NOT vote for x,y, and z.” I sat up a little straighter because it’s obvious somebody just stood up and told a big fat fib right there in the house of the Lord.  The minister got up and said “well, one thing’s for sure… there will be a record of it.” Ward got up and re-stated “well, it’s a type of motion that they don’t actually vote upon, but certain people voiced their opposition… Ashby didn’t voice his opposition, so we all know that “not voting no is the same thing as voting yes.”  Ah… there we go. No one actually voted, but he didn’t voice his opposition, therefore “he voted for it.”   Got it. And her supporters were still repeating the lie right up until the bitter end, knowing that it was untrue.  
 

Best part of the story? The preacher publicly endorsed Ward before the election. She walked into his church, stood in front of his pulpit, and lied. But he still endorsed her. That’s MAGA today. 
 

Danny O’Pry from Candlestick Baptist, if you were wondering.  

Posted
7 minutes ago, TheMissingBand said:

What bugs me are the ones who know what they’re spreading is false, but keep doing it because they know that it will affect the outcome.  I think that’s why the voters punished Rhonda Ward in her race for SB3 vs Ashby. 
 

I went to a forum at a church in Hardin County and Ward got up and plainly stated “Ashby voted for x,y, and z.”  Ashby then stood up and said “I did NOT vote for x,y, and z.” I sat up a little straighter because it’s obvious somebody just stood up and told a big fat fib right there in the house of the Lord.  The minister got up and said “well, one thing’s for sure… there will be a record of it.” Ward got up and re-stated “well, it’s a type of motion that they don’t actually vote upon, but certain people voiced their opposition… Ashby didn’t voice his opposition, so we all know that “not voting no is the same thing as voting yes.”  Ah… there we go. No one actually voted, but he didn’t voice his opposition, therefore “he voted for it.”   Got it. And her supporters were still repeating the lie right up until the bitter end, knowing that it was untrue.  
 

Best part of the story? The preacher publicly endorsed Ward before the election. She walked into his church, stood in front of his pulpit, and lied. But he still endorsed her. That’s MAGA today. 
 

Danny O’Pry from Candlestick Baptist, if you were wondering.  

Not sure why you only pointed out MAGA. Liberals/Progressives/Socialists lie the same.

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