OlDawg

A game between La Porte and Ball six weeks ago has absolutely nothing to do with a game between Lufkin and GCM this week.

You may want to start looking at I Bonds. As a banking employee, I’d think it’s something you have knowledge of, and can easily justify with your time window. A little protection can go a long way in this environment, and now would be the time to buy.

Trump has taken us one step closer to pure socialism by taking government ownership stakes in multiple companies and industries, and justifying them all with the umbrella of ‘National Security.’ He’s codified the Democratic Socialists’ agenda for them, and a bunch of Trump-loving stooges went right along with it.

Depends on the coaches. Usually, I wind up looking in multiple places, and I try to keep track during the year. Sometimes, I have to rewatch games or coach’s shows. Luckily—in this case—both staffs appear to be keeping their stats updated somewhere where Maxpreps can get to them. Because, they matched the individual games I had pretty close, and both were up-to-date. A lot of teams don’t do this.

A lot of people are using La Porte as a comparison for different things. For the record, La Porte just got their D personnel back for the PAM game. Then, they preceded to lose their NT during that game. I don’t know his status. LP had to shuffle their D, and many D players were having to fill in on the O as LP lost their entire OL and others in Games 1 & 2. Any comparison using the LP D before the PAM game is moot. LP even had Simon and Reynolds playing LB in addition to their normal positions against GB because they were so banged up. That’s when Simon got ejected. GB was taking cheap shots at him all game while he was doubling on defense. Apparently, he finally had enough at the end of the game. He had to sit the first half of the GCM game. LP has been through the injury wringer this year.

For those that think LP is still strictly a ground and pound team, here's a comparison. Many people aren't giving Wells the credit he deserves IMHO. La Porte (Offensive numbers in District play thru 5 games) Passing - 971 yards, 194 ypg, 14 TD's, 1 INT, 73% Comp. pct., 148.9 QB Rating Rushing - 326 ypg, 7.3 ypc, All purpose ypg - 582 PPG - 52.4 Beaumont United (Offensive numbers in District play thru 5 games) Passing - 1055 yards, 211 ypg, 14 TD's, 3 INT, 55% Comp. pct., 99.5 QB Rating Rushing - 120 ypg, 4.7 ypc All purpose ypg - 404 PPG - 32.4

I think their D can shut Randle down. They would have a tougher time with a team like LP that has multiple D1's to defend, and can run or pass effectively with either. LP's D is getting back into shape now that most of the young men are returning to their positions, and other tweaks have been made. Long way to go though.

Getting a first round game at home isn't going to make much of a difference. 11-5A & 12-5A are still too much in the air to really project Area matchups/easier paths. But, no path in Region 3 is going to be 'easy'. Then, SV is just steamrolling folks.

Lufkin's big loss to BU really left them in a bad position. They can make up for it--without having to worry about their final game against LP--if they can find a way to beat BWB by 18 or more. They also have to hope BU loses to LP & PAM. Obviously, no wins are guaranteed for anyone.

OlDawg's Final District Standings & PO Projections: (These are based on my personal game outcomes, and there are a couple key games that could shake things up quite a bit.) LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 Lufkin 4-4 RSS 3-5 GCM 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 Key Games from my perspective: Lufkin @ GCM, BWB @ Lufkin, RSS @ BU. Since Lufkin is the exact middle, their next 2 games are key to two PO spots. As guesses right now to base above standings on, I have: LP, PAM & BWB winning out. BU win vs RSS. Losses vs LP & PAM. Lufkin win vs GCM. Losses vs BWB & LP. RSS losses vs PAM & BU GCM win vs GB. Losses vs Lufkin. NC loses out. GB loses out. ***The BIG one!

I tend to agree. A lot will come down to BU/RSS the last game if things play out per projections. But, this district has been crazy balanced all year. So…

If Lufkin is involved in any tie that involves BU, they’re in trouble because they are at max points of -18 with the BU loss. Example: If BWB, BU, and Lufkin are tied, BWB is +14 right now, BU is +4 right now, and Lufkin is -18. Lufkin would need to beat BWB by 18+. That would put BU +4, Lufkin 0, and BWB -4. BWB would miss PO’s on points in a 3-way tie between these teams. If a multiple team tie involves RSS, it helps BWB & Lufkin equally as they both would get +18. BU doesn’t play RSS until the last district game. That game may well be for a PO spot. Point spread could be key.

West Brook played the tougher part of the schedule first. They're in decent shape. BU is hoping they will still have all-hands-on-deck for RSS because the next 2 weeks is gonna be brutal. GCM and Lufkin will duke it out. But, I'm going with Lufkin on that one. I'm thinking Lufkin and BWB get the final spots. BWB getting the nod because of the win over BU. But, if a 3 way between BU, BWB & Lufkin, Lufkin's on shaky ground. They need a blow-out win by 18 over BWB. That would leave BU at 4, Lufkin at 0, and BWB at -4. Don't feel confident Lufkin can beat BWB by 18+. The way this district has gone...who knows?

Welp... Still have 6 teams battling it out for 2 spots.