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OlDawg

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OlDawg last won the day on June 19

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  1. Here's a pretty reliable think-tank assessment. It helps explain some of the confusion surrounding Iran's remaining capabilities. As I stated--regardless of propaganda--there's still a lot of unknowns. It doesn't discuss the nuclear issue in this piece. But, there's no verified intelligence assessment on the exact damage to Iran's nuclear program. There are summations. Those summations are based on incomplete intel. The only way to get a true accounting is to topple the regime by whatever means is required where direct intelligence can be gathered. That's part of the danger of any 'deal.' There's no true baseline without the regime's full cooperation--which won't be coming. I know "regime change" is a dirty phrase to many--if not most. But--in this case--it will probably be the only way. The Administration needs to make the case for it. Right now, the IRGC is helping make the case to other world leaders themselves. But, there are a lot of everyday people in America who believe something different. They need to be convinced. Educate them on how the current Iranian regime remaining in place will affect their gas prices, and every other good they purchase. Make it more than just about the nuclear program. Make it about day-to-day life and expenses. Tell them how Iran regulating oil through the Strait will affect their pocketbook. They should have plenty of recent evidence now. I'll agree it doesn't appear Iran can launch a nuclear warhead at this time. That's as far as I'll go as it relates to their nuke program status. I can guarantee that's as far as any internal intelligence assessment provided to POTUS will go. It won't provide definitive details. That's not how our assessments work unless the info is verified by multiple sources. What he does with the assessments he does receive from there is more of a political statement on his part for his own reasons. [Hidden Content]
  2. Not sure we can say that yet. It’s known now that Iran was developing nuclear material at numerous military sites that were undeclared to the IAEA, or anyone else. These sites were never inspected under the previous agreement as the Obama Administration gave them that carve out. Basically, we don’t know what we don’t know at this time.
  3. Cheaper than drones. I think they’re only about $200k apiece. Just the psychological damage of 3 or 4 of them might do the trick.
  4. What pathetic proofreading… Can’t even quote Cruz correctly. lol
  5. I can't speak for anyone else, but you're not gonna change a leopard's spots just because you dye the rest of it's fur. The spots are still there. Iran is now basically a dictatorship run by an ideological military. The shared power structure that was with the mullahs is gone. As long as the IRGC exists, there will be no lasting change, or peace. They have to be eliminated one way or the other--either internally (preferable) or externally. The Iranian nationalists are going to have to suffer to make it happen. It's past time to go after the dual use infrastructure. Enough with the surgical strikes. Load up some MOAB's and let them fall.
  6. This issue is kind of on pause right now. It'll bump up and down in this limited range for awhile. I'm more worried about all the Socialists being elected. I'm also happy about SCOTUS immigration rulings, and am waiting on the birthright citizenship decision. Plus, DCTX mag is out. 😁
  7. Yep. R2 looks pretty salty to me from a depth perspective also. You'll finally get to see Bulldog. LP already has a countdown clock to the first game on their webpage. I'm ready. Last year left a bad taste.
  8. I still don't see an agreement being reached. I see Iran delaying, and the Administration not wanting to return to military action to force the issue, and have oil spike again before elections. I just see this festering until after midterms. Hopefully, I'm wrong. I still believe the ceasefire was a tactical mistake.
  9. You got BU ahead of BWB?
  10. Any thoughts on DCTX district predictions? They're actually predicting 9-5AD1 to be one of the State's toughest 5A districts after looking at all the teams. I see--on paper--a lot of balance between teams. I don't really see any gimme games. Going to have to come to play each week.
  11. I know GCISD is starting open enrollment for 2026-27. So, Sterling and GCM. As funding and budgets get crunched, more and more will probably turn to open enrollment. ISD's are usually one of the largest employers in an area. People in power in the communities won't let them go down. Too important.
  12. Iran’s leadership emerges from war battered and transformed If you can't read the full article--which is excellent IMHO--you can listen to it free by pushing the play button on the audio "listen to this article" icon under the main video. You can also read the full article at the below link from an MSN link: Iran’s leadership emerges from war battered and transformed
  13. I'd expect the lower cost States (OK & TX) to be able to run around the $2.79-$2.99ish area as an average, except in the really rural areas where supply is a little more difficult to reach. Other States should run around the $3.29-$3.79ish range (outside of CA, HI, and AK). As mentioned previously, every drop of $10/bbl equates to approximately $.25/gal for gasoline. The National average should get back down to around $3.20-$3.50/gal. But, thats more due to the taxes charged by the majority of States, and the 3 outlier States that bump up the average. There may be some ups and downs along the way, but that's where the consistent average should fall out for the next 6 months to a year. A lot of people who deliver part-time for DoorDash, Uber, Lyft, Instacart, Grubhub, and others probably aren't aware, if you itemize and receive a 1099-NEC, or 1099-K as an independent contractor, you can claim vehicle expenses--including gas taxes. Incidentally, you can also write off phone/data expenses according to how much you use it for your 'gig job.' Check with your tax professional to make sure you're getting any benefits allowable under your State and/or Federal tax laws. Even though the standard Federal deduction has been raised significantly, some people who deliver part time may want to do a comparison on if it's better for them to itemize based on all the deductions they can claim as an independent delivery driver for one of the delivery services. Don't just automatically assume the standard deduction is the best every year. (I used to always save gas receipts for my boats, and write off the taxes. Boats obviously don't use the roads, so you can claim the deduction on State gas taxes in Texas.)
  14. What's actually comical? I haven't heard a peep about the Paris Climate Agreement, Greta Thornberg, or the dreaded Climate Change. Seems everyone is too busy scrambling for oil. The Paris Climate Agreement appears to be about as solid as this MOU between Iran & the U.S.
  15. Israel has every right to be defiant. They’re not our puppet. They’re a sovereign state. Iran is merely trying to drive a wedge. They’ve been trying for decades. It’s the only way they can eliminate Israel—their goal. Our people need to be smarter, and recognize that. Bring Pompeo back if you need to as an advisor. He knows whats going on.
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