OlDawg

For some reason I can’t explain, I’m thinking 5-4 with Barrett as the swing. Roberts goes with Sotomayor & group. He’ll be worried about the Court’s legacy and such. I just hope Alito, Thomas, Gorsuch & Kavanaugh are too strict in their textualism to give in to pressure. This could go a long way towards solving some of our immigration and social welfare problems long term without having to create any new laws.

I use an @ post when I reference another poster's idea. I don't do it very often. But, when I do, I want to give them credit, and let them know I used their post/idea if using it to post with someone else. Personally, I don't think they're a bad thing on their own. When used childishly, I can see them being a problem. I don't even have my notifications turned on.

Bringing this to the front again as I believe--if SCOTUS rules against universal birthright citizenship--it will be one of the major issues for voters in November. SCOTUS hears the case April 1, and is expected to give a ruling around June/July. I'd expect 3 things if universal, automatic citizenship is ruled against (as I think it should be according to textualism/originalism): Democrats will use the decision as an attack on a 'Welcoming America/Nation of Immigrants" from an 'illegitimate' SCOTUS Democrats will whip up their base, and have massive turnout for the midterms, while Republicans will not be able to match the voter intensity. Democrats will immediately begin pushing to pack the Supreme Court again, and will so vilify the current Judicial Branch system that the last of our 3 pillars of government will lose any remaining credibility. If universal, automatic birthright citizenship is canonized, it won't have much bearing on midterms--if at all.

And that disputes anything I said how exactly? The Politico article you posted also backs up my thoughts on the area’s more religious, conservative leanings. My opinion is they went for Talarico because Crockett was seen as way too progressive, and they didn’t know of many of Talarico’s views yet. When they find out, I don’t see them turning out in droves for him. You never know though. Lot can happen before November.

They like Cuellar. I assume he does a good job for them. From what I've read about his positions, he's one of the last few moderate Democrats left. His policies reflect his constituents--as they should. The Hispanics in the Valley aren't near as progressive as the Dem Party is now. Most Hispanics I know aren't near as progressive as many think. In fact, they're fairly conservative and very family oriented, hard-working folks.

You really need to do better. These guys re-elected Henry Cuellar even when they voted for Trump for POTUS. Cuellar is a Democrat. Nothing changed this cycle. They've always voted for a Dem Representative. Dems tried to boot Cuellar out because he supported the Immigration/Border policy. Trump vouched for him. Cuellar was re-elected. Hmmm... You should try to look into stuff a little better before just believing propaganda.

Starr County (Rio Grande valley) has the highest pct. of Hispanics of any county in the U.S. according to Wikipedia, and had voted Democratic in every election since the 1800’s. The single time they voted Republican was in 2024. Deep red? Sounds like a single swing election in 2024 to Republicans because of the border to me. Now that the border is secure, people forget, and roll back to habit & norms.

Yeah. I saw something somewhere that Weiss was overcrowded for the build, and they didn’t want to expand because of overall enrollment drop.

Weiss was on a very good roll. They were the worst matchup LP could have drawn. LP pass D has never been a strength & Weiss capitalized. LP imploded. I just don’t see much difference in 11-5 & 12-5. In fact, I think 11, 12, & even 9 are pretty balanced. I think the top 4-5 in each district come PO time may be pretty evenly matched. We’ll see. Every year is different. I’m curious how Pflugerville rezoning affects Connally, Weiss, and P High.

Break out another thousand.

Not sure why you only pointed out MAGA. Liberals/Progressives/Socialists lie the same.

A lot of conspiracy theories out there. I will say, I wish people would vet their sources better. A lot of misinformation and confusion sowed by outside players, or those just looking for sensationalism for hits.

That’s better. But, if they didn’t vote in the primary, I don’t really see a massive uptick in the runoff. Could be wrong though. Plus, there are some runoff races in the Dem Party they’ll want to vote on.

If you voted in the Rep primary, you can only vote in the Rep runoff. Ditto for Dems. You can’t switch over for the runoff. No idea where you’re getting your info. But, it’s wrong.

Nothing wrong with that. 12-5 is very solid. I just happen to think 11-5 with Angleton, Friendswood, Iowa Colony, and Randle is just as deep. I actually think Katy Freeman may surprise as well. The 12-5 teams look really solid every year. But, a young Friendswood and a young Crosby took them to the mat last year as travelling 3rd & 4th place teams.