OlDawg

If the transfer portal doesn’t hit LP too hard next year, they’re going to be loaded. Simon, Smith, Wells, Dieudonne, Wallace, most of the OL, and most of the D will return. I’d like to see them have a good PO run this year to carry the momentum into next year. They’re still upset over the embarrassment of losing a 35-14 halftime lead last year against Weiss. Very focused. I like the mix they have this year better than last. They’re running a 65/35 mix run/pass. It’s what they’ve needed for a long time. Just enough to keep people from stacking the box as much. I missed adding the LP vs BU Freshmen score: LP 26 BU 6

I don’t keep up with them all that much because of the way LP brings kids up early. But, it was posted tonight on an LP page, so I thought I’d post. Looks like another good, young group coming up.

LP Freshmen Orange LP 35 Crawford 8 LP 17 Deer Park 0 LP 51 Ball 6 LP 55 GCM 0 LP 20 BWB 12 LP 34 PAM 16 LP 31 RSS 8 LP 26 BU 6 LP 21 NC 9 LP ? Lufkin ?

Stepp’s take on 9-5A D1 PO teams at about the 40 minute mark. If Lufkin were to pull the upset, my scenarios above could come into play.

My last post in this thread has some breakdowns. Pretty sure my numbers are right. But, double-check.

Check your mail.

REWORK WITH ADDED POSSIBLE SCENARIO: Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 Another possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP RSS 4-4 with a win over BU This scenario would also go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: Lufkin +12 to +29 possible BWB +10 to -7 possible GCM +7 RSS -29 Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isn’t really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. The most likely finish--according to current Massey projections--is a tie for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 NOTE: I didn’t do any other scenarios because of very large projected point spreads.

Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 GCM's best PO scenario is to be involved in this particular 4-way tiebreak. They would get the 3 seed. Otherwise, they would need BU to lose out where a 3-way tie between them (+7), BWB (+10 to -7 possible) and RSS (-29) would favor them and BWB. Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isn’t really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. According to current projections, it looks like the tie may be for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 Whew! I ain’t doing this again if something really weird happens! 😂

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[Hidden Content] (Can’t figure out how to make ChatGPT insert the straight image once created. Tried to create one with Marvin chasing Wil E. But, it said it violated copyright laws. Maybe, it’s telling me to vote for BU?)💁🏼

Another view of ‘The Catch’. He has 22 offers as a Jr. I suspect he may receive a couple more. [Hidden Content]

PAM/BU and BU/RSS will tell the tale.

This catch has to be seen to be believed. This is NFL stuff! [Hidden Content]