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OlDawg last won the day on June 16
OlDawg had the most liked content!
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thetragichippy reacted to a post in a topic:
SPCX
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thetragichippy reacted to a post in a topic:
Iran War Update
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Wrong. JCPOA didn't have snap inspections of any sites, or destruction of existing enriched nuclear material. In fact, it included terms that required giving notice to Iran about upcoming inspections, and even allowed them to self report enrichment. JCPOA was a big, fat nothingburger. It's yet to be seen what this will turn into.
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Porter reacted to a post in a topic:
The Art of the Squeal
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You won’t find any argument from me. But, this was a forgone conclusion as soon as the ceasefire was called. It’s been written on the wall since.
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I’m amazed at all the criticisms/kudos for an agreement that doesn’t yet exist…
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You knew it would see-saw hard & fast. I can’t recall an IPO in a long time that didn’t lose 50% of its value in the first year. Many have come back strong and stayed strong. You didn’t mention E*TRADE. That makes a difference on fees. Still the same for tax purposes. SpaceX is so different than other firms, I see it as more of a trade stock versus an investment stock for the shorter term. Long play, I think it definitely has legs. But, the mere nature of its business is high risk. Too risky for my taste as I’m already living on savings and investments. I was also worried about it being so dependent on the government and whatever Administration was in at the time. When reading the prospectus, 20% of it’s business was with the Feds.
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Porter reacted to a post in a topic:
Trump Effect
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At this stage in my life, I'm not really a growth investor any more. I'm more of a value/income/dividend player. But, if I had another 20 years where I really wanted a good growth stock, and SPCX dipped down to $115-$120/share, it would definitely be on my buy list.
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Definitely tone deaf.
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Still to early to decide if this effort was a success or failure. That won't be known until the formal agreement is signed at least a couple months from now. If there really are snap inspections and full access by IAEA, and IAEA supervises dilution of current material, it could be deemed successful from the nuclear threat aspect. I also still say, the Strait--thus Iran--has lost it's bargaining power for the future. Supply chains will no longer rely so much on passage through the Strait for the bulk of their needs. This is an outcome that wasn't discussed as a goal. It's an unintended consequence. But, it's a definite positive for the U.S. The Administration lucked out, and backed into this one.
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I’m not a ‘trust the process’ guy. We were both a little off based on current numbers. Looks like 75% have access to a defined plan of some type. The attachment breaks it down (latest data) by different categories, regions, etc. [Hidden Content]
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Gains in the stock market benefit anyone contributing to a 401k. Over 80% of employees in the U.S. have access to an employer sponsored 401k. If they don’t contribute, they’re missing out on the best investment chance offered in America today. Especially if it’s employer matched of some amount/type. Those who say they can’t afford it don’t know that the tax savings on their regular paycheck almost negates their contribution in most cases. Many employees find their actual take home pay very close to the same whether they contribute or not because of the pre-tax aspect of 401k’s ‘lowering’ their taxable paycheck.
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baddog reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
OlDawg replied to HangPDFs's topic in Political Forum
If I were a paranoid person, I'd begin to think someone was reading my posts. lol The Oil Business Is Shifting From Hormuz to Houston. The Iran War May Have Made It Permanent - National Security Journal -
OlDawg reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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District 9-5A D1 Thread 2026/2027
OlDawg replied to Mr. Buddy Garrity's topic in High School Football
Lufkin, WB & PAM all have one historically tough opponent, and one opponent that's usually a little easier. Lufkin has their major rivalry game with the Lobos. La Porte has 2 quality opponents with their major rivalry game in the Border Battle, and then Ft. Bend Crawford. So, I'll have to go with La Porte right now. I think Ft. Bend Crawford is going to be a solid team again this year with their returning superstars on O. La Porte could easily start out 0-2. Breaking in some new players on the lines may take a few games. -
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
OlDawg replied to HangPDFs's topic in Political Forum
Yep. Like I said previously, I'd expect Brent to hang around upper $70's for the foreseeable future. I don't envision going back into the $60's again. $70's are actually a good number that allows for a balance between fuel costs & margins that allow for maintenance and investments by the energy companies. I haven't heard of any major T/A's in a long time. Usually, that's a yearly, staggered process between refiners. T/A's are a critical function, and the refiners have to have the margins and capacities to enable the down times. In the past, we were around $80/bbl. But, efficiencies and fracking have enabled a lot lower cost structure need. This is a solid link to keep bookmarked for those interested. It doesn't give all the data I receive. But, it's pretty informative for the overview. -
OlDawg reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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DCT reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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baddog reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
OlDawg replied to HangPDFs's topic in Political Forum
Let me consult Carnac. -
thetragichippy reacted to a post in a topic:
SPCX
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thetragichippy reacted to a post in a topic:
SPCX
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IPO two days ago. Market cap now higher than Amazon, and it hasn't released a single fundamental to back up the share price. What could possibly go wrong? lol Gut tells me a whole lot of folks are going to be left holding the bag when institutions and hedge funds take massive profits before the little guys can get out. They're going to have to be disciplined enough to ride out the storm, and pray there's not a single launch issue.
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5GallonBucket reacted to a post in a topic:
March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
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March 8,2026 — WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
OlDawg replied to HangPDFs's topic in Political Forum