OlDawg

I think their D can shut Randle down. They would have a tougher time with a team like LP that has multiple D1's to defend, and can run or pass effectively with either. LP's D is getting back into shape now that most of the young men are returning to their positions, and other tweaks have been made. Long way to go though.

Getting a first round game at home isn't going to make much of a difference. 11-5A & 12-5A are still too much in the air to really project Area matchups/easier paths. But, no path in Region 3 is going to be 'easy'. Then, SV is just steamrolling folks.

Lufkin's big loss to BU really left them in a bad position. They can make up for it--without having to worry about their final game against LP--if they can find a way to beat BWB by 18 or more. They also have to hope BU loses to LP & PAM. Obviously, no wins are guaranteed for anyone.

OlDawg's Final District Standings & PO Projections: (These are based on my personal game outcomes, and there are a couple key games that could shake things up quite a bit.) LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 Lufkin 4-4 RSS 3-5 GCM 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 Key Games from my perspective: Lufkin @ GCM, BWB @ Lufkin, RSS @ BU. Since Lufkin is the exact middle, their next 2 games are key to two PO spots. As guesses right now to base above standings on, I have: LP, PAM & BWB winning out. BU win vs RSS. Losses vs LP & PAM. Lufkin win vs GCM. Losses vs BWB & LP. RSS losses vs PAM & BU GCM win vs GB. Losses vs Lufkin. NC loses out. GB loses out. ***The BIG one!

I tend to agree. A lot will come down to BU/RSS the last game if things play out per projections. But, this district has been crazy balanced all year. So…

If Lufkin is involved in any tie that involves BU, they’re in trouble because they are at max points of -18 with the BU loss. Example: If BWB, BU, and Lufkin are tied, BWB is +14 right now, BU is +4 right now, and Lufkin is -18. Lufkin would need to beat BWB by 18+. That would put BU +4, Lufkin 0, and BWB -4. BWB would miss PO’s on points in a 3-way tie between these teams. If a multiple team tie involves RSS, it helps BWB & Lufkin equally as they both would get +18. BU doesn’t play RSS until the last district game. That game may well be for a PO spot. Point spread could be key.

West Brook played the tougher part of the schedule first. They're in decent shape. BU is hoping they will still have all-hands-on-deck for RSS because the next 2 weeks is gonna be brutal. GCM and Lufkin will duke it out. But, I'm going with Lufkin on that one. I'm thinking Lufkin and BWB get the final spots. BWB getting the nod because of the win over BU. But, if a 3 way between BU, BWB & Lufkin, Lufkin's on shaky ground. They need a blow-out win by 18 over BWB. That would leave BU at 4, Lufkin at 0, and BWB at -4. Don't feel confident Lufkin can beat BWB by 18+. The way this district has gone...who knows?

Welp... Still have 6 teams battling it out for 2 spots.

True

Lufkin has a very real chance of finishing 3rd at 5-3. Others would battle out the tiebreaker at 4-4.

Haven’t checked this week. Big, fat fail last week.

!score 28-21 FINAL

!score 28-7 Q3

Okay. I thought that’s what I heard. DCTX stream is pathetic again. No video even. Just sound. I’m going over to NFHS. They at least can get a friggin broadcast to work.

Oops!