Cougar14.2

The entire 59 corridor north of the beltway all the way to Cleveland is growing like that except for Splendora. New Caney had one school in 2010 but next year will have three 5As. Matter of fact pretty much every major thoroughfare coming off the north side of the beltway has growth like that. Other districts just open more schools, Cleveland ISD has chosen not to so far but could probably really use one on the north side of town.

12-5A-D2 stats though 8 games per the district statistician: DISTRICT 12-5A Division II (District Overall) School W-L-T Pct W-L-T Pct PF PA Crosby 5-0-0 1.000 6-2-0 0.750 384 224 Texas City 4-1-0 0.800 7-1-0 0.875 280 108 Nederland 3-2-0 0.600 6-2-0 0.750 236 168 Port Neches-Groves 3-2-0 0.600 5-3-0 0.625 263 283 Mont Belvieu Barbers Hill 3-2-0 0.600 4-4-0 0.500 345 280 Dayton 1-4-0 0.200 2-6-0 0.250 217 280 Humble Kingwood Park 1-4-0 0.200 2-6-0 0.250 198 321 Santa Fe 0-5-0 0.000 0-8-0 0.000 30 344 TEAM OFFENSE GM RUSHING PASSING TOTAL AVG Mont Belvieu Barbers Hill 8 2027 2088 4115 514.38 Crosby 8 1793 1707 3500 437.50 Port Neches-Groves 8 1526 1659 3185 398.13 Texas City 8 1782 1141 2923 365.38 Dayton 8 979 1853 2832 354.00 Nederland 8 1264 1363 2627 328.38 Humble Kingwood Park 8 1097 1230 2327 290.88 Santa Fe 8 617 595 1212 151.50 TEAM DEFENSE GM RUSHING PASSING TOTAL AVG Texas City 8 597 855 1452 181.50 Nederland 8 1053 1308 2361 295.13 Dayton 8 1616 1165 2781 347.63 Crosby 8 1016 1768 2784 348.00 Port Neches-Groves 8 1280 1576 2856 357.00 Santa Fe 8 1634 1306 2940 367.50 Mont Belvieu Barbers Hill 8 1100 1961 3061 382.63 Humble Kingwood Park 8 2135 1631 3766 470.75

Those were the projections. The actual 5A-D1 ceiling is 2,211 and the floor is 1,920 with Houston Waltrip being the largest D2 school at 1,919. Taking into consideration the new schools and the natural growth in the metro areas I think the 5A-D2 cutoff will be somewhere around 1,980 before potential opt-ups which may move the number another 20-25 kids and be right around your 2,003 number.

Like BH fan said, it's a trap game for them. BH comes in knowing they should roll but if they turn it over a time or two early I can see them tightening up Dayton making a game out of it. The kids from Dayton will be looking to ruin BH's season which is the next thing to a playoff spot for them. Again, BH should roll but sometime that's exactly why it doesn't happen.

NM, Elam said it’s only a 14 point cap. BH gets jobbed and finishes 4th in the same scenario now.

I don’t think point differential counts against teams that aren’t tied? If TC beat both PNG and BH they would have three district losses. If Crosby beats Ned they’ll also have three district losses. Only the BH, Ned and PNG point differentials against each other would count. If 21 points is the cap then Ned would be -11, BH would be +7 and PNG would be +4. Crosby would finish 1st, TC 2nd, BH would finish 3rd and PNG 4th.

That’s pretty wild when you look at it that way. We said we wanted tougher district play though. There is still a scenario where TC beats both PNG and BH and PNG still gets in but yeah, this is basically a play-in for PNG. Let’s see how they perform in front of the home crowd in a very winnable game even though they’ll be at a personnel disadvantage. Opportunity to play 12 games vs 10.

TC plays defense and defense “travels”. Their offense isn’t that good but just like every other team in the district outside of Crosby, PNG probably isn’t going to score much more than 7 meaningful points on them. On the offensive side of things PNG’s defense is so porous that I don’t think TC will have much trouble grinding out 35+ points on them.

Because I think Texas High is better than Montgomery. 2nd place will get Texas High in the area round, 3rd will get Montgomery.

Agreed, we haven’t covered anything over the middle or that 8 yard our route off play-action the whole season. PAM was also having success against us with it but went away from it and BH never tried it. There were were several more plays to be made over the middle and probably a couple of TDs but to someone’s point earlier the PNG qb play isn’t what is has been in past years. I’ll say this though. PNG has significantly less talent than Dayton, yet BF still has them right in the thick of things.

Y’all don’t. If TC wins out they are second place. BH also needs TC to beat PNG so y’all aren’t in a 5-2 tie with them which would go to PNG. Basically y’all need TC to beat PNG and then y’all beat TC the last game of the season to secure 2nd. 3rd place will be the easier draw for what it’s worth though.

District play would be tougher but getting Galena Park, Madison and Houston Sterling in the first round is a lot easier than Hightower, Manvel and Angleton. Especially when you can get a Cedar Park in round two. Crosby may get FB Willowridge and Marshall the first two rounds of the playoffs.

To his point though, snapshot is next Friday. Nobody is currently enrolled at West Fork so if they count the enrollment without accounting for the kids that won’t be there next year then they’ll probably be moving to 6A. It looks like the year Shadow Creek opened they accounted for that at Manvel and put them in 5A.

Kind of hard for me to get a read on Aledo this year. They’re still killing people but just not the usual Aledo maulings. I do agree Williams is a little easier back to deal with than the ones recently and I’m not really as high on y’all’s qb as recruiters seem to be but I think Aledo’s defense is what will win them a title this year anyway, not their offense. Lovejoy is the only team I see testing y’all and I doubt your defense has a performance against them like they did last year.

It really has nothing to do with red or blue but two things. First, the person most instrumental in helping secure refining permits is your US representative which has been a republican for the Beaumont area since 1995. Second, my company is expanding its Beaumont refinery so what ever needed to take place at the city happened also. The issue is that there is a lot more automation and more contractors in the refineries now. That leads to a need for less permanent resources(residents) and creates a more transient workforce(guys living in travel trailers in these RV parks). That transient workforce usually doesn’t bring their kids and companies are figuring out how to operate with less and less so there’s not some huge need for employees at these refineries even when they’re expanded. These big refineries now are operating at about a quarter of the permanent personnel they used to 40 years ago. People are trickling from the smaller towns to the larger metro areas to take advantage of the job market in this places. That’s why you see contraction in SETX, not because some union guys are locked out right now.

Craziest stat from the night to me is that Crosby scored 10tds but only had seven third downs. Considering how much the backups played they had to be pretty efficient too. We also had more tds than third downs against Kingwood Park.

To answer this question for Crosby I would say the jury is still out. The season wasn’t really going to be about is competing for a district championship, it was going to be about if we could beat FB Marshall again. Thankfully the team health has held up and we’re on track for that. Very good job by Crosby’s staff getting the inexperienced starters we had at the beginning of the season up to speed quickly. Two teams I predicted would make some strides were Dayton and BU. Feels like Dayton is headed in the right direction, you see what TC did from last year to this one. No reason Dayton can’t do the same. BU still seems lost though, may need to let the basketball coach coach the football team too? I think the one school that has outdone even all the most hallucinogenic predictions is Vidor though. If the Pirates can get to 12+ wins Matthees may be looking at DCTF coach of the year honors.

Like I was telling the PNG fans who were pointing to the stats among common opponents, there’s a difference in how they were accumulated. PNG scored on the second play from scrimmage, then Crosby scored 42 unanswered and the game was over half way though the second quarter. Even on PNG’s second td drive close to the end of the first half it was a backup corner who dropped the int two plays earlier. Most of those passing yards are a result of PNG down by 40 trying to air it out against the backups. Most of their rushing yards came from their backup rb against our backup defenders. Their starter probably had 15 carries for 30 yards.

With two games left in the season for most of us it’s interesting to see what your team’s outlook is versus what you predicted they would do before the season started. What was/is the reasons for your team’s performance; COVID, injuries, coaching, personnel or just plain luck? Also, with realignment upon us do you feel like your team is trending in the right direction?

Some stats from the game: PNG - 366 total yards on 64 plays. 15/33 passing with 3tds and 2int. 30 carries for 107 yards and 1td. 16 first downs and 10-18 on third down. 2 turnovers and 2 penalties for 15 yards. *PNG didn’t have individual stats. Crosby - 724 yards on 59 plays. Myles was 10/15 for 237 yards and 4tds, he also had 11 carries for 148 yards and 3tds on the ground. Eudy was 2/2 for 78 yards and 1td. As a teams Crosby rushed for 409 yards on 42 carries. Womack had 6 catches for 152 and 3tds. Roberson had 1 catch for 75 yards and 1td. Kirkwood had 1 catch for 48 yards and 1td. *Shout out to the clean up crew, a.k.a the sophomores and freshmen that get to come in a finish off the blowouts. Most of them are still too small and slow for us to depend on them outside of relief situations but they way they’ve improved over the last five games from Dayton to PNG is pretty impressive. Code Red has some ball players coming folks, like, some serious ones.

I actually thought BF had a great gameplan. Move the pocket and try to take advantage of the pass plays we struggled to cover on film. Hit us on the second play of the game for a TD. Us armchair qbs thought PNG should try to run the ball and eat clock. In actuality though the way PNG was getting beat at the LOS if they tried to run Trahan from the beginning of the game they might not have scored in the first half. They just would’ve ended up in 2nd and 3rd and long a lot more. BF outcoached us armchair guys. The game was always going to be about Crippen being able to make enough plays to keep PNG in it and he couldn’t. He can only do so much though. As far as the talent pool, you’re spot on. It’s something I’ve been saying for the last few years now. The suburban schools like Crosby and BH with growing enrollments just have bigger talent pools to choose from right now.

BF is limited by his personnel. If the PNG faithful can’t see that after last night then they’re probably the ones with the issue, not BF. He could’ve ran anything outside of the slot-t and it would’ve been similar results. One of the moms last night asked one of the other fans in the stands, “Somebody said this is the team that beat Barbers Hill?”. Guy says, “Yeah, it is”. Woman turns to her friend and says, “IDK, maybe they were using different players?” She was DAS too😭

This is exactly what I think will happen. The only thing I will point out is that in your scenario PNG and Ned couldn’t tie for 4th place because Ned has the head to head. If BH and TC both finish 5-2, Ned and PNG finish 4-3 then Ned gets in. PNG gets ready for baseball season.

The 132 combined points is what’s Impressive to me. It’s hard for offenses to be that efficient even in practice. It looked like 5A-D1 teams against 5A-D2 teams.

I see Vidor getting love two weeks in a row on High School Scoreboard. Doesn’t matter if y’all are ranked, Matthews just did an interview with Tepper and Way for everybody in the state to see so you’re not being slighted or going to sneak up on anybody. If I was a Vidor fan I would be more worried about how you potentially play pass defense against those teams that are in the top ten and what you’re going to do at the line of scrimmage in regards to that East Texas district before you even get there.