*District Playoff Scenarios: Playoff spots & Seeding*

[AggiesAreWe]

Most of our districts playoff spots are set with some seeding still to be decided. We do have a few districts where playoff spots are still up for grabs depending on the results of the Week 11 games. Here are where our coverage area districts stand as far as playoff spots clinched and seeding.

I'll start with District 17-6A;

 

17-6A

This district is set. All 4 playoff spots are clinched and division seeding has been determined. These are the playoff teams and seeding:

D1 #1 seed       North Shore

D1 #2 seed       Summer Creek

D2 #1 seed       CE King

D2 #2 seed       Atascocita

 

This district plays 18-6A in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

9-5A D1

Lots to be determined still. Several scenarios depending on this week's results. La Porte and PA Memorial have clinched.

Here's a rundown of the playoff spot and seeding scenarios courtesy of @OlDawg and @Matthew328

Playoff Scenarios (Assuming GCM & BWB beat GB):

IF BU beats RSS:

• GCM +11
• BU +7
• BWB -3
• Lufkin -15

GCM & BU would advance as #3 & 4 respectively. PO seeds would be La Porte, PAM, GCM & BU in that order. La Porte & PAM with home field in Bi-District.

IF RSS beats BU:

• Lufkin +21
• GCM +7
• BWB +1
• RSS -29

Lufkin & GCM would advance as #3 & 4 respectively. PO seeds would be La Porte, PAM, Lufkin & GCM in that order. La Porte & PAM with home field in Bi-District.

***Interesting sidenote - In the summer, I predicted a PO breakdown of La Porte, PAM, GCM/Lufkin with GCM and Lufkin a toss-up for the 3 & 4 seeds...

• BWB vs GCM -7, RSS +18, BU +14, Lufkin -10
• GCM vs BWB +7, RSS -7, BU -3, Lufkin +7
• Lufkin vs GCM -7, RSS +18, BU -18, BWB +10
• BU vs GCM +3, BWB -14, Lufkin +18, RSS ?
• RSS vs GCM +7, BWB -18, Lufkin -18, BU ?

 

if Lufkin beats LaPorte Fri, West Brook will be in as long as they beat Ball

Lufkin wins and Sterling wins

GCM is 0

WB is +11 PLAYOFFS

Sterling is -11

 

if Lufkin and United wins

WB is +7 PLAYOFFS

GCM is +4

United is -11

[AggiesAreWe]

9-5A D2

All 4 spots clinched. Seeding to be determined this week.

Current standings:

1. Montgomery   (6-0)

1. Huntsville     (6-0)

3. Lake Creek    (4-2)

3. West Fork      (4-2)

 

Huntsville at Montgomery on Thursday will determine #1 and #2 seed

West Fork at Lake Creek on Friday will determine #3 and #4 seed

 

This district plays 10-5A D2 in 1st round

[AggiesAreWe]

10-5A D2

Playoff spots are clinched and top two seeds are clinched. Here are the current standings:

1. PN-G     (5-0)

2. Texas City   (4-1)

3. Nederland   (3-2)

3. Dayton     (3-2)

 

PN-G has clinched #1 seed. Texas City has clinched #2 seed.

Winner of Nederland at Dayton Friday night will be #3 seed. Loser is #4 seed.

 

This district plays 9-5A D2 in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

9-4A D1

All 4 playoff spots are clinched. Seeding to be determined. Here are the current standings:

1. LC-M      (4-1)

1. Vidor      (4-1)

3. Huffman    (3-2)

4. Bridge City   (3-3)

 

LC-M can clinch #1 seed with a win over Lumberton Friday night.

Vidor can clinch #1 seed with a win and an LC-M loss. Vidor can finish no worse than #2 seed. Vidor plays Liberty Friday.

Huffman has clinched at worst the #3 seed. They can get #2 seed with a win and an LC-M loss. They can find themselves in a 3 way tie for top spot with a win and an LC-M and Vidor losses but the point situation would not help them. Huffman plays Livingston Friday.

Currently in a 3 way tie with Huffman, LC-M and Vidor, the point totals are:

LC-M    +11      (18+ win over Vidor, 8 point loss to Huffman)

Vidor    0        (18+ point loss to LC-M, 18+ point win over Huffman)

Huffman    -11  (7 point win over LC-M, 18+ loss to Vidor)

So LC-M would be #1 seed, Vidor #2, Huffman #3.

Bridge City cannot finish higher than #4 seed due to their loss to Huffman.

 

9-4A D1 plays 10-4A D1 in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

10-4A D2

All 4 spots are clinched. WO-S has clinched #1 seed. Here are the current standings:

1. WO-S      (4-0)                        play Hardin-Jefferson

2. Silsbee     (3-1)                       play Shepherd

3. Hamshire-Fannett  (2-2)         play Jasper

4. Shepherd     (2-2)                   play Silsbee

 

Again, WO-S has clinched #1 seed due to their win over Silsbee. Silsbee can clinch #2 seed with a win. Hamshire-Fannett can clinch no worse than #3 seed with a win. A Shepherd win over Silsbee could change seeding.

A Shepherd win by 10 points or more: #2 seed HF, #3 seed Shepherd, #4 seed Silsbee

A Shepherd win by 9 points or less: #2 seed HF, #3 seed Silsbee, #4 seed Shepherd

Any win by Shepherd over Silsbee gives Hamshire-Fannett #2 seed as long as they beat Jasper.

Current point totals with Silsbee/Shepherd game to play"

HF     +17   (1 point loss to Silsbee, 18+ win over Shepherd)

Silsbee   +1   (1 point win over HF)

Shepherd  -18   (18+ loss to HF)

 

10-4A D2 plays 9-4A D2 in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

9-3A D1

All 4 spots are clinched. Seeding still to be determined. Here are the current standings:

1. Diboll      (4-0)          plays Westwood

2. Fairfield   (3-1)         plays Trinity

3. Westwood   (3-1)     plays Diboll

4. Trinity     (2-2)          plays Fairfield

 

Big games this Friday that will determine seeding. Diboll can clinch district championship and #1 seed with a win. Fairfield can clinch no worse than #2 seed with a win. A Westwood win over Diboll can force a three way tie for top seed. WW can be #1 seed with a win and a Fairfield loss. Trinity can get #3 seed with a win and a Westwood win.

In the 3 way tie with Diboll, Fairfield and WW, these are the point totals with the Diboll/WW game yet to be played:

Diboll     +16

Fairfield   +2

WW         -18

 

Westwood would need to win by 17+ to get #2 seed in the three way scenario. Diboll can keep #1 seed with a 14 point or less loss. Fairfield can get #1 seed with a 15 point or more WW win.

 

9-3A D1 plays 10-3A D1 in 1st round.

 

 

[AggiesAreWe]

10-3A D1

Orangefield and Anahuac has clinched playoff spots. Orangefield has clinched #1 seed. Anahuac has clinched #2 seed. Here are the current standings:

1. Orangefield       (5-0)        play Tarkington

2. Anahuac           (4-1)         play Coldspring

3. East Chambers   (3-2)       play Kirbyville

4. Buna              (3-3)            off

5. Kirbyville        (2-3)          play East Chambers

 

East Chambers can clinch #3 seed with a win or a 10 point or less loss to Kirbyville.

Buna can clinch #4 seed with an East Chambers win. An EC loss of any kind would eliminate Buna from playoff spot.

Kirbyville can get #3 seed with an 11 point or more win over EC. Can get #4 seed with a 10 point or less win over EC. A loss would eliminate Kirbyville.

Point totals for these three with Kirbyville/EC game to be played:

EC           +18

Kirbyville   -4

Buna          -14

 

This district plays 9-3A D1

[AggiesAreWe]

12-3A D2

All 4 spots clinched. Seeding still to be determined. Here are the current standings:

1. Newton        (3-1)         play Woodville

1. New Waverly  (3-1)       play Kountze

1. Hardin        (3-1)           play Warren

4. Woodville   (2-2)           play Newton

 

Newton can clinch #1 seed with a win. They currently hold the point total advantage over New Waverly and Hardin. NW can clinch #1 seed with a win and a Newton loss. Hardin can clinch #1 seed with a win and a NW loss. Woodville can only get to #3 seed with a win over Newton. All other scenarios have them as #4 seed unless Hardin and NW lose also.

Here are the current point totals for three way with Hardin, Newton and New Waverly:

Newton         +17

NW                 -1

Hardin            -16

 

This district plays 11-3A D2 in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

12-2A D1

San Augustine and Shelbyville have clinched playoff spots. Winner of their game Friday will be #1 seed, loser #2.

Here are the current standings:

1. San Augustine         (4-0)        play Shelbyville

1. Shelbyville              (4-0)         play San Augustine

3. Garrison                 (2-2)         play Timpson

4. Joaquin                  (1-3)         play Hemphill

5. Timpson                 (1-3)         play Garrison

 

Garrison can clinch #3 seed with a win. 

Joaquin clinches playoff spot with a win or Timpson loss. Can clinch #3 seed with a win and a Garrison loss of any point total.

Timpson needs a win of 10 or more over Garrison to secure a playoff spot. A win of 9 or less and they will be eliminated.

 

This district plays 11-2A D1 in 1st round

[AggiesAreWe]

12-2A D2

All 4 playoff spots clinched. Seeding to be determined. Here are the current standings:

(note: we did not include the forfeit games for Hull-Daisetta in our standings)

1. Colmesneil        (4-0)               play West Sabine

1. West Sabine     (4-0)               play Colmesneil

3. Evadale             (2-2)              play West Hardin

3. West Hardin      (2-2)             play Evadale

 

This one is easy.

Winner of Colmesneil/WS is #1 seed, loser #2.

Winner of Evadale/WH is #3 seed, loser #4 seed.

 

This district plays 11-2A D2 in 1st round

[AggiesAreWe]

13-1A D1

This one is easy as well.

Union Hill has clinched #1 seed

Chester and Leverett's Chapel play for the final spot.

 

This district plays 14-1A D1 in 1st round

 

15-1A D2

Apple Springs has clinched #1 seed

Buckholts and Calvert play for final playoff spot.

 

This district plays 16-1A D2 in 1st round.

[AggiesAreWe]

WHEW!!!!

[Alpha Wolf]

1 hour ago, AggiesAreWe said:

Most of our districts playoff spots are set with some seeding still to be decided. We do have a few districts where playoff spots are still up for grabs depending on the results of the Week 11 games. Here are where our coverage area districts stand as far as playoff spots clinched and seeding.

I'll start with District 17-6A;

 

17-6A

This district is set. All 4 playoff spots are clinched and division seeding has been determined. These are the playoff teams and seeding:

D1 #1 seed       North Shore

D1 #2 seed       Summer Creek

D2 #1 seed       CE King

D2 #2 seed       Atascocita

 

This district plays 18-6A in 1st round.

Summer Creek has a bigger enrollment than Atascocita?  North Shore and Atascocita use to be the 2 biggest schools in that district.

[Alpha Wolf]

1 hour ago, AggiesAreWe said:

9-5A D1

Lots to be determined still. Several scenarios depending on this week's results. La Porte and PA Memorial have clinched.

Here's a rundown of the playoff spot and seeding scenarios courtesy of @OlDawg and @Matthew328

Playoff Scenarios (Assuming GCM & BWB beat GB):

IF BU beats RSS:

• GCM +11
• BU +7
• BWB -3
• Lufkin -15

GCM & BU would advance as #3 & 4 respectively. PO seeds would be La Porte, PAM, GCM & BU in that order. La Porte & PAM with home field in Bi-District.

IF RSS beats BU:

• Lufkin +21
• GCM +7
• BWB +1
• RSS -29

Lufkin & GCM would advance as #3 & 4 respectively. PO seeds would be La Porte, PAM, Lufkin & GCM in that order. La Porte & PAM with home field in Bi-District.

***Interesting sidenote - In the summer, I predicted a PO breakdown of La Porte, PAM, GCM/Lufkin with GCM and Lufkin a toss-up for the 3 & 4 seeds...

• BWB vs GCM -7, RSS +18, BU +14, Lufkin -10
• GCM vs BWB +7, RSS -7, BU -3, Lufkin +7
• Lufkin vs GCM -7, RSS +18, BU -18, BWB +10
• BU vs GCM +3, BWB -14, Lufkin +18, RSS ?
• RSS vs GCM +7, BWB -18, Lufkin -18, BU ?

 

if Lufkin beats LaPorte Fri, West Brook will be in as long as they beat Ball

Lufkin wins and Sterling wins

GCM is 0

WB is +11 PLAYOFFS

Sterling is -11

 

if Lufkin and United wins

WB is +7 PLAYOFFS

GCM is +4

United is -11

So in other words, I need a BU win vs Sterling on Thursday and LaPorte to take care of their business on Friday against Lufkin.  Got it!

[1989NDN]

AAW, thank you.  Very well done and much appreciated.

[AggiesAreWe]

31 minutes ago, Alpha Wolf said:

Summer Creek has a bigger enrollment than Atascocita?  North Shore and Atascocita use to be the 2 biggest schools in that district.

They now do in this last realignment.

[Austin1985]

35 minutes ago, Alpha Wolf said:

Summer Creek has a bigger enrollment than Atascocita?  North Shore and Atascocita use to be the 2 biggest schools in that district.

I'm tripped out 2 about SC being in div 1

[AggiesAreWe]

4 minutes ago, Austin1985 said:

I'm tripped out 2 about SC being in div 1

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North Shore          4151

Summer Creek      4110

CE King                 3659

Atascocita             3579