I think I am still on the fence about this. After reading and hearing Nos explain why to foul, he makes great sense. Nos and I had this discussion at the East Chambers tourney when the Orangfield kid hit the three at the buzzer to send their game with Liberty Hill into overtime. Nos was for fouling, Todd and I said not to foul. In that particular instance, Nos was right.
I would be more inclined to foul knowing that the opposing five on the court were not great freethrow shooters. Even if they were, I have seen too many a good high school player feel the pressure at the line to come through with that first freethrow. But, it is a game of percentages. Do you take your chances on a 30% shot, or make them hit one freethrow and then get an offensive rebound. IMO, those percentages are pretty fairly equal, but a little worse for the latter.