89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 1:55 PM, PrairieMan said: From my understanding currently only Woodridge Forest Middle school feeds into West Fork. However that's completely based off of conversations with friends of ours that live there. Expand Based on that, it looks like West Fork may start out as a 4AD1 and jump to 5AD2 next round when they have a full school. Quote
PrairieMan Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:20 PM, 89Falcon said: Never said Tarkington would be over 600 kids. Shepherd is the one that will be over 600. If the cut off went to 570 that would likely save Tarkington. My initial projections were based upon existing cut off numbers. Expand My apologies, I took the statement wrong then. Either way, unless we get an influx of people and in particular high school kids then it will be tight either way. We may be one of those borderline schools that help determine where the line is drawn to keep classes properly distributed. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:25 PM, PrairieMan said: My apologies, I took the statement wrong then. Either way, unless we get an influx of people and in particular high school kids then it will be tight either way. We may be one of those borderline schools that help determine where the line is drawn to keep classes properly distributed. Expand Quite possible. I hope they get to stay in 3AD1 given all of the turnover lately. Would be a tall order for the new regime to have to deal with 4AD2 out of the gate in current circumstances. Quote
PrairieMan Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:27 PM, 89Falcon said: Quite possible. I hope they get to stay in 3AD1 given all of the turnover lately. Would be a tall order for the new regime to have to deal with 4AD2 out of the gate in current circumstances. Expand The only positive regarding the recent turnover is the kids got a face that's been in house for a few years now and I don't think he's going anywhere. That will help provide stability for the kids. Might see some familiar faces pop back up in the coordinator positions as well. In reality, it will always be tough for us to compete in football no matter what class or district we are in. Basketball and baseball will stay competitive for next few years either way. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:44 PM, PrairieMan said: The only positive regarding the recent turnover is the kids got a face that's been in house for a few years now and I don't think he's going anywhere. That will help provide stability for the kids. Might see some familiar faces pop back up in the coordinator positions as well. In reality, it will always be tough for us to compete in football no matter what class or district we are in. Basketball and baseball will stay competitive for next few years either way. Expand You never know. If Tarkington were to get some momentum, the destiny can change. It will take a little time and a strategic plan. Hopefully the community will support the new coach and give him the time and flexibility to implement his plan. PrairieMan 1 Quote
Setx fan Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/24/2023 at 9:44 PM, 89Falcon said: Shepherd is over 600 8th-11. OF and Tarkington well past the cut Expand Shepherd definitely has a rather large 8th grade group. Quote
Setx fan Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/24/2023 at 9:44 PM, 89Falcon said: Shepherd is over 600 8th-11. OF and Tarkington well past the cut Expand Shepherd definitely has a rather large 8th grade group. Quote
Setx fan Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/24/2023 at 9:44 PM, 89Falcon said: Shepherd is over 600 8th-11. OF and Tarkington well past the cut Expand Shepherd definitely has a rather large 8th grade group. Quote
Guest Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:18 PM, 89Falcon said: That would keep them in the same district. Their enrollment 8-11 is 441, Expand Correct. Liberty current enrollment is 683, not sure what we have in grades 8-11. Quote
idk Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 Shepherd will be going back up, only thing that can save them is starting a 7A division. We are getting our fair share of move in's like Cleveland has. TrojanWarrior08 1 Quote
setxathlete14 Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 Someone told me the average limit range percentage by year that was close. I wished I remembered it lol.. Only chatter I know of is orangefield going back by many including thr AD himself...... some say lumberton hitting 5A but when you factor the historical average growth limit it lands short. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 4:29 PM, setxathlete14 said: Someone told me the average limit range percentage by year that was close. I wished I remembered it lol.. Only chatter I know of is orangefield going back by many including thr AD himself...... some say lumberton hitting 5A but when you factor the historical average growth limit it lands short. Expand Lumberton does not appear to be close to moving up unless they lower the cut. Quote
AggiesAreWe Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 Orangefield will not be moving up. They currently have 529 in HS. The 8th grade class is a descent size class but will not push them over the top to get them into 4A DII. My source says they may get to 550 but that will still be short of 4A DII. Quote
lcm93 Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 2:24 PM, 89Falcon said: Based on that, it looks like West Fork may start out as a 4AD1 and jump to 5AD2 next round when they have a full school. Expand That would put them in the vidor lcm lumberton livingston huffman hargrave district Quote
Mr. Buddy Garrity Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:27 PM, lcm93 said: That would put them in the vidor lcm lumberton livingston huffman hargrave district Expand Assuming they're region 3 which I doubt they'll be. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:07 PM, AggiesAreWe said: Orangefield will not be moving up. They currently have 529 in HS. The 8th grade class is a descent size class but will not push them over the top to get them into 4A DII. My source says they may get to 550 but that will still be short of 4A DII. Expand Showing OF at 586 8-11 and 618 7-10. I think it is possible they go up. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:33 PM, Mr. Buddy Garrity said: Assuming they're region 3 which I doubt they'll be. Expand Splendora is in there now. With Splendora leaving, West Fork would be a logical replacement/fit. Quote
Mr. Buddy Garrity Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:43 PM, 89Falcon said: Splendora is in there now. With Splendora leaving, West Fork would be a logical replacement/fit. Expand Nothing is logical with the UIL 😂 Exhibit A: teams in 8-5A D1 in Region 2 🤦🏾♂️ 89Falcon, CC1987 and prepballfan 3 Quote
setxathlete14 Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 4:41 PM, 89Falcon said: Lumberton does not appear to be close to moving up unless they lower the cut. Expand Yeah they talked about a massive 8th grade class. But Livingston blows them out of the water in that aspect so hard to put weight on it. Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:46 PM, setxathlete14 said: Yeah they talked about a massive 8th grade class. But Livingston blows them out of the water in that aspect so hard to put weight on it. Expand I went through the whole district. Splendora looks certain to move up but the rest look safe. I think the next closest one for moving up was Vidor. Quote
AledoAlumni Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:45 PM, Mr. Buddy Garrity said: Nothing is logical with the UIL 😂 Exhibit A: teams in 8-5A D1 in Region 2 🤦🏾♂️ Expand Embrace it lmao Mr. Buddy Garrity 1 Quote
Mr. Buddy Garrity Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 6:07 PM, AledoAlumni said: Embrace it lmao Expand 3 rounds deep last season after being bounced out 1st round for a few years I think we have embraced it but logically we belong in Region 3 🤷🏾♂️ Quote
AledoAlumni Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 6:13 PM, Mr. Buddy Garrity said: 3 rounds deep last season after being bounced out 1st round for a few years I think we have embraced it but logically we belong in Region 3 🤷🏾♂️ Expand I think yall would have had a very good run on that side of that bracket too! Mr. Buddy Garrity 1 Quote
AggiesAreWe Posted May 25, 2023 Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 5:42 PM, 89Falcon said: Showing OF at 586 8-11 and 618 7-10. I think it is possible they go up. Expand Show me Quote
89Falcon Posted May 25, 2023 Author Report Posted May 25, 2023 On 5/25/2023 at 7:16 PM, AggiesAreWe said: Show me Expand Quote
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