Week-7 Port Arthur Memorial at La Porte Predictions

[Austin1985]

18 hours ago, OlDawg said:

The better comparison would be:

• PAM 33 ppg - 4 papg = differential of 29 ppg
• LP 52 ppg - 35 papg = differential of 17 ppg

Basically, the game is as we all know. LP's O that's averaging 52 ppg vs PAM's D that's giving up 4 ppg. If you believe PAM can hold LP 20-30 points below their average, and still score their average of 33 against LP, you roll with PAM, and you're looking at a one score game. If you believe LP can hold PAM to their average of 33 or less, and only have to score 65% of their own average, you're looking at a one score game, and you roll with LP.

PAM has only scored their average of 33 or above in one game at home against Ball. They scored 55. They scored 23 & 21 respectively in their other two contests. LP has scored 59, 52, and 45 for their average of 52 ppg. If you threw out—as an aberration—the highest scoring game from PAM & LP, PAM would average 22 ppg. LP would still average 49 ppg. PAM’s point differential would drop to 18. LP’s point differential would be 13.

(The above numbers are from actual, common district opponents the two teams have played in consecutive weeks with LP playing them all first. PAM had 2 home games and 1 away game. La Porte had 2 away games and 1 home game. Obviously, they are just numbers, and don’t account for emotions of high school ball players, venues, etc.)

I'm a big fan of an aggressive D. I love PAM's D. But, I also love LP's O & special teams. If I had my personal preference, I'd prefer the D. But, that's not what LP has this year. For many years prior to LaReau, LP was more of an offensive based team. They were still playing Stratford, Aldine, and the like (when only one school went to the PO's) for the right to go to the Semi's. So, it's not totally unheard of at LP--or unsuccessful--to have a greater emphasis on O. Just different to a lot of folks who weren't around then.

Anyway, there’s an analytical breakdown of the match-up using real numbers.

You can't mansplain giving up 39.9 ppg to me by using advance mathematics.  

[OlDawg]

54 minutes ago, Austin1985 said:

You can't mansplain giving up 39.9 ppg to me by using advance mathematics.  

If you’re coming, be safe and enjoy the stadium. If you come early and want some real pregame TexMex, hit up El Ranchero on Main St.

I recommend the Tommy Tacos. I get the 3 taco plate. You can ask for charros with any meal instead of refried if you prefer them. They’re excellent.

There’s extra parking in the back.

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[OlDawg]

1 hour ago, Austin1985 said:

You can't mansplain giving up 39.9 ppg to me by using advance mathematics.  

How do you explain only scoring 23 against GCM when RSS scored 28? How about BWB? It was only 7-0 very late until a tipped Bruin pass in the end zone changed momentum. 7 points?

#4 in the State? Really? Randle will eat all our lunches & make us pay them for our lunchboxes as they leave.