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District 12 is a mess now with Groveton's win over AS. Mathematically five of the six teams are still alive. Here's how I see it:

Current Standings:
Centerville 4-0
Anderson-Shiro 3-1
Lovelady 2-2
Hull-Daisetta 1-3
West Hardin 0-4

Scenario #1: All favorites for the week win. CV over AS, LL over HD, GV over WH =

1. CV
2. LL
3. Groveton

3-way tie for second. Tie breaker is winnings points vs three. LL +10, Groveton +9, AS +1. AS is out.

Scenario #2. AS beats Centerville, LL beats HD, Groveton/WH either outcome

1. AS
2. CV
3. LL

AS would be 4-1 but beat CV heads up for #1 seed. CV at 4-1 gets 2nd. LL gets 3rd as they beat Groveton head to head.

Scenario #3. CV beats AS, HD beats LL, Groveton beats WH;

1. CV
2. Groveton
3. AS

CV undefeated, GV and AS at 3-2 tie for 2nd with AS winning the head to head.

Scenario #4, CV/AS either way, LL beats HD, WH beats Groveton.

1. CV/AS winner
2. AS/CV loser
3. Lovelady

District championship decided by winner of AS vs CV. Groveton loss to WH puts them at 2-3, LL gets in at 3-2

Scenario #5 (my favorite). CV vs AS (either way), HD beats LL, WH beats Groveton

1. CV/AS winner
2. CV/AS loser
3. Lovelady, Groveton, HD (tie breaker)

Groveton had a large margin win vs. HD, but it's capped on the tie breaker. If HD wins by 19 or more then a second tie breaker is used. If HD wins by less than the cap margin, then Groveton is in, HD and LL are out.


Needless to say, the last week of district play in 12-2AI will be interesting!! Anderson Shiro wins, they're district champs. If they lose, they miss the playoffs!!! Lovelady and Groveton can both go from possible #2 seed, to out. HD has the slimmest of slim margins to get in. With three or four starters coming back they can definitely help Groveton and AS get in.

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