Home field advantage = whoopie doo for the Horns over the last 5 years. TCU needs a big game here in prime time. Texas is playing well and could play spoiler, but I'll take the Frogs 30-20. Love to see TCU in the playoff.
Home field not so good lately. Ags 0-5 ATS in the last 5 home games. Also, 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games off a bye week. Also seems unlikely that LSU loses 3 straight, which I don't think has ever happened under Les Miles. So, we'll see if the Ags can break all these trends.
If I was the SEC, I wouldnt let Texas play anybody except Florida or Tennesee. Nothing to gain for A&M, and I'd rather play someone else anyway. Maybe in 5 years.