I’ve been paying attention to presidential elections since 1968 and I’ve followed and voted in every one since 1972. There have been 3 breaks I can think of and I watched them happen and could almost feel them happening. The first one was Jimmy Carter in 1979. About ten days out he was ahead, but I could tell from the reporting and just people around here I talked to it always breaking fast towards Reagan. The second time was 1987. Micheal Dukakis folded like a cheap suit. It was like watching a slow motion train wreck. The third one was in 2011. Comey announced a reopening of Hillary’s laptop, which was the final straw, but I could tell a little before then that it was breaking fast towards Trump. Her campaign was poorly run.I think the 4th one is happening. Polls, campaigns, overall uptick in enthusiasm for Harris and Democratic voters while Trump keeps up with bizarre speeches and low energy rallies. I been saying over and over a national campaign cannot outsourced. That’s the main responsibility of the national party for its nominees. It was a big mistake to put Musk in charge in Pennsylvania. An effective ground game cannot be bought. It has to be built. Trump’s 12 years of chaos within the party has allowed the Republicans ground game to atrophy. I can feel the shift just like I felt the other three. I’m predicting an upset in Florida, Iowa, or Ohio. The house will probably wind up with a 25 seat Democratic majority, and I think the Democrats will also pick up a couple iof seats in the Senate.Donald Trump is going to lose bigly. If I’m wrong, I won’t hide. I’ll take whatever darts and ribs come my way. If I’m right, I’ll be doing some crowing.