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*HURRICANE IKE AFTERMATH AND COMMENTS*

KFDM COOP

By KFDM COOP
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HoopInsider_Cooper

HoopInsider_Cooper

Posted
Posted

10pm NHC advisory:

Winds: 110

Movement: NW 12

000

WTNT34 KNHC 130236

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  48

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  AL092008

1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES ITS TREK TOWARD GALVESTON ISLAND

AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ON GALVESTON ISLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO

NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO

REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO

PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT

FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...

INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...

85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150

KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A

NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH

EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF

IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY

EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT

INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...

WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE

SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY

THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.  STRONGER WINDS...

AS MUCH AS 30 MPH HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE...COULD OCCUR ON HIGH

RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND

OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL

STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. DURING

THE PAST HOUR...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON

GALVESTON ISLAND AND REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE

AIRCRAFT INDICATE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE

GALVESTON ISLAND.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE

RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET

IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS

BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE

CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN

USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE

CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE

NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST

SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER

EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED

AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS

OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN

LOUISIANA.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...28.6 N...94.4 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 1200 AM CDT AND 200 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE

ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART/READ

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kicker

kicker

Posted
Posted

It seems Orange County is being spared. Is this correct and if so, will it continue??

No, the Gov. is still sticking to 17ft surge. We just got off the 930 conference. When the winds change to SE it will come. NWS is predicting us to start getting hurricane force winds at about midnight and sustain for 6 hours.

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Guest kosmo

Guest kosmo

Posted
Posted

I forgot about that cornhole.  He is a drama queen himself.

Good ole Cantore.  Somebody needs to get that dude a weather oscar.  Does his drama switch ever turn off?

If you flip to fox, Geraldo is giving Cantore a run for his money, or Oscar.

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Gabe

Gabe

Posted
Posted

Good ole Cantore.  Somebody needs to get that dude a weather oscar.  Does his drama switch ever turn off?

If you flip to fox, Geraldo is giving Cantore a run for his money, or Oscar.

Admin come on bro, you know Geraldo is somewhere up here in the Dallas area where I am. That was a sprinkler with a fan to the side. He almost found Jimmy Hoffa though!  ;D

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Mr. Buddy Garrity

Mr. Buddy Garrity

Posted
Posted

Good ole Cantore.  Somebody needs to get that dude a weather oscar.  Does his drama switch ever turn off?

If you flip to fox, Geraldo is giving Cantore a run for his money, or Oscar.

Admin come on bro, you know Geraldo is somewhere up here in the Dallas area where I am. That was a sprinkler with a fan to the side. He almost found Jimmy Hoffa though!  ;D

:D
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