History also showed in 2020 of the 19 counties that have predicted the president perfectly over the past 40 years, Trump won 18 of them by an avg. of 16 points. Biden won one by 3. Of the top 58 bellweathers since 2000, Trump won 51 by an average of 15 points, Biden won 7 by an average of 4 points.
So there’s that.