[quote name="panamamyers" post="1313587" timestamp="1351518050"] Never said it was likely. I just said that Lee controls their own destiny. FW had enough trouble with GP and Lee played GP down to a last second fg....so I don't think there is a huge gap between those two if Lee plays up their capabilities. Of course TC is going to be tough to beat. That's why they play the games. [/quote] Fair enough. But, I think you are underestimating Friendswood by a good bit. Against common district opponents so far Friendswood is 3-1 with wins over Santa Fe, GCM, and Galena Park and a loss to Dawson. Lee is 1-3 against the same opponents with a win only over Santa Fe. Yes the Galena Park game appears close and God knows neither defense showed up, but Friendswood scored 79 in a win and GP scored late to close the margin to 16 points from 23. The game wasnt as close as it appears on paper. In contrast Lee lost to GP scoring only 35 against a weak defense. The Friendswood Santa Fe game was over by the end of the first quarter with FW up by more than 40 at half time and GP on 0. Santa Fe scored twice in the second half against FW's 2s and 3s. The final was 62 - 14. Lee beat Santa Fe 34-10. Again, Lee scored 34 against a D that surrendered 62 to Friendswood The FW v. GCM game ended 24-7 and was FW's best defensive performance. GCM helped with a bunch of turnovers. GCM beat Lee 36 -21. Lee scored almost as many against GCM as FW. This game may be the better game to compare Lee and FW. The FW v. Dawson game was close until the last 5 minutes of the 4th with Friendswood having a chance to tie the game with 6 minutes left. Friendswood's O put up 33 against Dawson. The Lee v. Dawson game was a good one, but Lee only scored 7. In games against common opponents Friendswood scored 198 pts and and Lee scored 97 pts. So against the same teams Friendswood out scored Lee by 101 pts over four games. Defensively, Lee was marginally better than Friendswood. Against common opponents FW gave up 126 pts to Lee's 117. So Lee held the same opponents to 9 fewer points over four games. I think Friendswood is significantly better on offense than Lee and that Lee is marginally better than Friendswood on defense. With Lee having homefield advantage and playing for their playoff lives I expect the game to be close. But, I think Friendswood has to be a clear favorite. A Lee victory would be an upset, but its certainly not impossible.