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23-AA Playoff Team Scenarios


Hotrodg

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The following are the playoff scenarios for 23-AA.  I will do 24-AA and potential matchups later today.

Newton is in and will be district champions regardless of the outcome of any game in week 10.

Corrigan-Camden is in with:

Win v Shelbyville

OR

Newton win v San Augustine.

Woodville is in with:

Win v. Hemphill.

Hemphill is in with:

Win v. Woodville AND a Newton win v. San Augustine

OR

Win v. Woodville AND a Shelbyville win v. Corrigan-Camden

San Augustine is in with:

Win v. Newton AND Hemphill win v. Woodville

OR

Win v. Newton AND Shelbyville win v. Corrigan-Camden

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Note:

The above was created on the assumption that 23-AA uses the following tie-breaker rules:

2-way tie: Head-to-Head

3+-way tie: Point differential for in games with involved teams

I am making an assumption here, but those do seem to be the most common tie-breakers used in UIL districts.

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Awesome.  23-AA is actually not as complex as it looks.  The 8 possible week 10 outcomes can produce 5 differnt team combos, but only two are likely.

In 3/8 scenarios the participants will be:

D1 Woodville

D2 Newton\Corrigan-Camden

In 2/8 scenarios the participants are:

D1 Newton

D2 Corrigan-Camden\Hemphill

The remaining combos (1/8 each) are:

Unlikely (requires Newton loss)

D1 Newton

D2 Corrigan-Camden\San Augustine

Highly Unlikely (requires Newton loss AND CC loss)

D1 Woodville

D2 Newton\San Augustine

D1 Newton

D2 San Augustine\Hemphill

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