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DCTF 4A D2


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41 minutes ago, Silsbee92 said:

 

In 2015, we dropped 40 on Carthage and couldnt get ahead of Carthage.  They lost to La Vega that year.

Yeah I was at that one in Tyler, Ingram got hurt early for Carthage and Carthage was making uncharacteristic mistakes (well 2 certain players were). Silsbee had a very good chance to beat them that night. That was a shootout. 

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7 hours ago, Mr. Buddy Garrity said:

Yeah I was at that one in Tyler, Ingram got hurt early for Carthage and Carthage was making uncharacteristic mistakes (well 2 certain players were). Silsbee had a very good chance to beat them that night. That was a shootout. 

Big difference from "having a chance to beat Carthage" and "beating Carthage". 

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1 hour ago, STiger85 said:

Isn’t that with any team?

Not at all. With some teams (such as Tarkington for example), everyone "has a chance to beat them" and "almost everyone does beat them". By way of comparison, "few have a chance to beat Carthage" but an even smaller "actually beat Carthage". An example of a team somewhere in between would be Silsbee, who "many teams have a chance to beat" and about half of those usually "follow through beating them". 

In summary, having a chance to beat Tarkington is almost automatic to result in a win. While having a chance to bet Carthage very rarely equates to a win. A good way to view this phenomenon in a more quantifiable method would be to examine the win/loss records over extended period of time such as a "10 year sample".   

 

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