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W23 Jack Yates vs T18 China Springs Regional Semi Finals


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At least 50.

Region 3 is not strong this year.  There are probably more respectable teams than ever before but there's only one powerhouse.  I think La Marques was way over ranked, they should have been no higher than 10 at the most, all the northern teams could handle them.  So that leaves Yates vs. the munchkins in 3.

Now, if Yates goes up against the north and beats Argyle or Decatur or Faith Family or Carter by 60 then I stand corrected.  But that's not going to happen.  Yates will win comfortably and they may break 100 but it won't be the kinds of margins we've seen at the lower echelon.  They'll be going against taller stronger competition excellently coached and that will change the whole dynamic changes radically.  I think the Lions are far and away the best team in 4A are practically a shoe in but it will be more competitive.

I wish Silsbee would have drawn China Springs.  It's a better matchup for us than Life.

 

 

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39 minutes ago, JimThorpe said:

At least 50.

Region 3 is not strong this year.  There are probably more respectable teams than ever before but there's only one powerhouse.  I think La Marques was way over ranked, they should have been no higher than 10 at the most, all the northern teams could handle them.  So that leaves Yates vs. the munchkins in 3.

Now, if Yates goes up against the north and beats Argyle or Decatur or Faith Family or Carter by 60 then I stand corrected.  But that's not going to happen.  Yates will win comfortably and they may break 100 but it won't be the kinds of margins we've seen at the lower echelon.  They'll be going against taller stronger competition excellently coached and that will change the whole dynamic changes radically.  I think the Lions are far and away the best team in 4A are practically a shoe in but it will be more competitive.

I wish Silsbee would have drawn China Springs.  It's a better matchup for us than Life.

 

 

I agree about the region. I don’t think Yates is tested until the state semi finals or even maybe the finals for that matter.

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I think Silsbee will need to step their defense up vs Life they have a pretty athletic team. I salute the entire Silsbee coaching staff Sigler, Brooks, Collins, and Jacob Brooks on a job well done. I think this team has made it further than some thought and could have a place at least in th Regional Finals. 

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6 minutes ago, BADSANTA said:

I think Silsbee will need to step their defense up vs Life they have a pretty athletic team. I salute the entire Silsbee coaching staff Sigler, Brooks, Collins, and Jacob Brooks on a job well done. I think this team has made it further than some thought and could have a place at least in th Regional Finals. 

I agree with this 100%. Silsbee took an absolute great player and a very good one and rode them into the regional tournament this season. You gotta tip your cap to that. I felt like last years club underperformed and this years overperformed. The region is definitely down this year. 

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1 hour ago, JayBilas said:

Dallas Carter and Faith Family BOTH are very capable of beating Yates. They will play in the regional final for sure in the north region (region 2)

One will eliminate the other because they are in the same region.  The toughest games Yates faces are against that winner or Argyle.  Faith and Argyle played to a tie and Faith won by 2 in overtime.  So any of those 3 are indeed capable of giving Yates a good game.  Now that Liberty Hill has been upset I don't know about Region 4.

But I still think that Lions are that much better.  Wise knows he can't roll up those state tourney teams as easily has he's handled Region 3 and he'll have his guys ready for a 4 quarter war.  They'll be forced into a more conventional game but they can handle it.

I'm pretty confident that the Region 3 teams that are getting steamrolled will at least have the satisfaction of knowing they lost to the eventual state champs.

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Yates MUST cut down on their turnovers, they committed approximately 25 against LaMargue if they expect to advance to the Regional Finals.  Yates MUST continue to force turnovers, apply pressure with the press and hit their outside shots.  Yates is going into this game Friday against China Spring with 2 Goals:

1. Win the game

2. Continue their 100 point consecutive scoring record.

I believe the 100 point streak will continue this weekend in Huntsville.  I have to wait to see who we will face in San Antonio before I predict if the streak will continue.  The teams Yates will face in San Antonio will be the toughest games we will have played sense the Thanksgiving Hoopfest Massacre (Lost by 37 & 52).  Yates will be participating in their 9th Consecutive Regional Tournament Appearance. 

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4 hours ago, idiotproof1981 said:

Yates would probably win the 5A state championship this year and After watching Summer Creek play a few times I’m almost sure Yates would at least make it to state in the 6A Division. Needless to say I don’t see any team coming within 20 of Yates m

Pump the brakes.   I don’t think they would beat Lancaster in 5A or Dickinson n a couple others in 6A 

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12 hours ago, idiotproof1981 said:

Yates would probably win the 5A state championship this year and After watching Summer Creek play a few times I’m almost sure Yates would at least make it to state in the 6A Division. Needless to say I don’t see any team coming within 20 of Yates m

Doubt it and surely not 6A. They wouldnt make state in 6A and maybe not 5A. 

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15 hours ago, idiotproof1981 said:

Yates would probably win the 5A state championship this year and After watching Summer Creek play a few times I’m almost sure Yates would at least make it to state in the 6A Division. Needless to say I don’t see any team coming within 20 of Yates m

Absolutely not

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Based on my handicap methodology it's virtually impossible for Yates to beat China Springs.  Here's how it works. 

China Springs ISD has 2748 kids enrolled.  We'll say half are boys so that's a pool of 1374 boys.

Houston ISD has 214,175 kids enrolled.  We'll say half are boys so that's a pool of 107,087 boys.  Yates is a magnet so that's their pool.

107087 / 1374 = 77.9  and that's the handicap.  We multiply China Springs final score by 77.9.  Let's say the final score on the board is 117 to 69.  We apply the handicap and China Springs wins 5379 to 117 and advances to the Regional final in a shocking blowout.

Of course what's good for the goose is good for the gander.  Assuming our Tigers advance Friday they will face a 1.07 handicap factor in the final because Silsbee ISD is a little bigger China Springs.  If the final score on the board is Silsbee  81, China Springs 76 then China Springs will advance to State when the handicap is applied winning 81.32 to 81.  Fair's fair after all. 

Great season Tigers, you came oh so close.  

And Yates, you've got a lot of work to do guys if you every want to get anywhere.  I just don't know where those thousands of points are going to come from in 32 minutes of play.  Frankly I'm astounded you made it this far.  Might be better to rethink this deal and go with a reasonable zoning plan.

 

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