tvc184

Mostly presidents choose who might swing a few votes.
The Veep isn’t likely to lose votes but could potentially swing a close state.
Presidential nominees aren’t exactly known for choosing a front runner or what the talking heads feel is a “likely” pick.
It’s like Nixon choosing Gerald Ford (although in the middle of a presidency and not a primary), Ford choosing Dan Quayle, Mondale choosing Geraldine Ferraro, etc.
Certainly there are outliers such as Ronald Reagan, choosing George Bush.
So the biggest question will be, will Trump choose one of the claimed front runners such as Ramaswamy, Gabbard, Noem or Scott or will he go outside like with Pence?
 The odds seem to be in favor of a person who isn’t typically mentioned in the usual conversations.
From a purely voting standpoint, it seems like Tulsi Gabbard  would be the most likely choice or the choice most likely to swing any votes from the undecided or claimed swing voters 
In her favor for things that some people feel are important are:
1. Female and Pacific Islander. 
2. Current member of the National Guard and with deployments overseas during the Iraq War and later in Kuwait. As a combat medic she earned a Combat Medic Badge which I believe is given by the Army for medics who have actually treated wounded soldiers while engaged with an enemy.
3. Like Ronald Reagan, she was a former Democrat, who realized the folly of that party.
4. She is very young and can get away from the old person stereotype that currently seems to be running politics. 
I don’t know that any of the other candidates can bring as much to the table that might entice a swing voter. I have seen people for example, push for Ramaswamy, saying that he is a rich businessman and outspoken, much like Trump. I like the guy however is he going to swing a middle of the road independent? If one of those people likes a person such as Trump, why not just vote for Trump?
 But I think Trump is going to pull a rabbit out of the hat …….
 
 

The Speaker cannot pass laws. The Speaker can control chair and co-chair positions and I believe deny any bill to come up for a vote.
 The Speaker cannot submit bills any different than any other member. 
The Speaker cannot give money to his district or declare an emergency.
So what has Phelan done (since he was the rookie in 2021) that any other Republican would have done? Appoint committee chairman? Oh wait, when the Republicans had complete control, Phelan has appointed a total of 30 Democrats to committee chairman positions. Those committee chairmen can control what bills are allowed to be voted on in committee, thereby allowing them to come to the floor of the actual House of Representatives. The committee chairman are therefore in a fairly powerful position and Phelan gave a substantial percentage to Democrats.
So, what has this Hall of Fame, multi-state champion head coach done that the theoretical rookie head coach will not do? Appoint more Democrats instead of from his own party? I am almost positive the claimed rookie head coach would not do worse.
Your analogy is worse than weak, it is silly. If he wins election to the House again, so be it. If the Republicans again elect him as Speaker, then they get what they deserve. Hall of Fame? Multi-state champion? You’ve got to be kidding….
Again, I will ask, name what accomplishments that Phelan has done that another Republican would not have done in order to get conservative issues past?
 Oh yeah, his district isn’t Orange County only. It is most of Beaumont, all of Port Arthur, part of Nederland, most of Groves and Port Neches, Taylor’s Landing, Kirbyville, Jasper and so on. 

The Speaker cannot pass laws. The Speaker can control chair and co-chair positions and I believe deny any bill to come up for a vote.
 The Speaker cannot submit bills any different than any other member. 
The Speaker cannot give money to his district or declare an emergency.
So what has Phelan done (since he was the rookie in 2021) that any other Republican would have done? Appoint committee chairman? Oh wait, when the Republicans had complete control, Phelan has appointed a total of 30 Democrats to committee chairman positions. Those committee chairmen can control what bills are allowed to be voted on in committee, thereby allowing them to come to the floor of the actual House of Representatives. The committee chairman are therefore in a fairly powerful position and Phelan gave a substantial percentage to Democrats.
So, what has this Hall of Fame, multi-state champion head coach done that the theoretical rookie head coach will not do? Appoint more Democrats instead of from his own party? I am almost positive the claimed rookie head coach would not do worse.
Your analogy is worse than weak, it is silly. If he wins election to the House again, so be it. If the Republicans again elect him as Speaker, then they get what they deserve. Hall of Fame? Multi-state champion? You’ve got to be kidding….
Again, I will ask, name what accomplishments that Phelan has done that another Republican would not have done in order to get conservative issues past?
 Oh yeah, his district isn’t Orange County only. It is most of Beaumont, all of Port Arthur, part of Nederland, most of Groves and Port Neches, Taylor’s Landing, Kirbyville, Jasper and so on. 

The Speaker cannot pass laws. The Speaker can control chair and co-chair positions and I believe deny any bill to come up for a vote.
 The Speaker cannot submit bills any different than any other member. 
The Speaker cannot give money to his district or declare an emergency.
So what has Phelan done (since he was the rookie in 2021) that any other Republican would have done? Appoint committee chairman? Oh wait, when the Republicans had complete control, Phelan has appointed a total of 30 Democrats to committee chairman positions. Those committee chairmen can control what bills are allowed to be voted on in committee, thereby allowing them to come to the floor of the actual House of Representatives. The committee chairman are therefore in a fairly powerful position and Phelan gave a substantial percentage to Democrats.
So, what has this Hall of Fame, multi-state champion head coach done that the theoretical rookie head coach will not do? Appoint more Democrats instead of from his own party? I am almost positive the claimed rookie head coach would not do worse.
Your analogy is worse than weak, it is silly. If he wins election to the House again, so be it. If the Republicans again elect him as Speaker, then they get what they deserve. Hall of Fame? Multi-state champion? You’ve got to be kidding….
Again, I will ask, name what accomplishments that Phelan has done that another Republican would not have done in order to get conservative issues past?
 Oh yeah, his district isn’t Orange County only. It is most of Beaumont, all of Port Arthur, part of Nederland, most of Groves and Port Neches, Taylor’s Landing, Kirbyville, Jasper and so on. 

I know it’s not his money but it makes you wonder why someone is spending about $10 million for a job that pays about $22,000 a year. 

I know it’s not his money but it makes you wonder why someone is spending about $10 million for a job that pays about $22,000 a year. 

I know it’s not his money but it makes you wonder why someone is spending about $10 million for a job that pays about $22,000 a year. 

You're one angry guy......

How much are you charging Trump for rent? 

I will vote for Covey but I really don’t think that Phelan, as an incumbent and with name recognition, is in any trouble.
I would venture that in a normal year an incumbent being challenged in a primary would win by about 85%-15%. With this race and Phelan getting so much attention and much of it negative, it might go to Phelan 60/40 or maybe a little less than 40 for Covey.
I would love to be wrong but…..

How much are you charging Trump for rent? 

Actually, what he said is that 70% of Haley's voters weren't registered as Republicans. How many were democrats wanting(?) Haley to get nominated?  I dunno.  How many were Republican leaning moderates who don't feel strongly enough to commit solely to republicanism?  Probably most.  That's the point that no one wants to understand... Trump can't win with MAGA voters or registered republicans alone.  He NEEDS those moderates and even some crossover libs/dems to win.... and he spurns them.  
 
In Texas, you can vote in any primary you wish... you just can't vote in both.  Why should anybody be excluded from voting in the primary of their choosing?  Oh, wait... I forgot that y'all are all from the camp that doesn't believe everybody should be allowed to vote.   As a fair-minded conservative by nature, this was one of the hardest facts to deal with.  A large part of the Republican base does, in fact, believe that some people shouldn't be allowed to vote.  

1. Haley will almost certainly drop out of the race after Super Tuesday.
Her statement that she’s in it for the long-haul has to be made and everyone in her position says the same thing. What else are they going to say, if you don’t vote for me this week I’m quitting? Such an admission by anyone might as well have throw in the towel at that moment. 
2. No one has to justify their vote, why they vote or if they don’t vote at all. However… the next president will be a Democrat or a Republican. The Constitution guarantees it by about 99.9%. In that respect, a no vote, or a vote for someone in a third-party other than Democrat or Republican, is ridiculous vote. You could skip voting, write yourself in, you could put it in Mickey Mouse‘s name or vote for one of the dozen or more “third” parties. On a sidenote, I always find it interesting that they call a third party any one of many. “Yeah, I am going for that third party!”. Why not call it an alternate or protest party which is what it is. 
But, no matter you’re justification to vote for whoever or skip voting altogether, nothing will change the fact that either a Republican or a democrat will be the next president.
Voting for a president when one is guaranteed to be in office, is not like not shopping at Walmart or not buying a food that you don’t like. There are most things in our life that we can simply choose to avoid. Having a president is not an option unless you move out of the country.
3. Anyone that thinks conservatives or Republicans are not going to vote for Trump at a 40% rate is in La La Land. TDS would be running strong. In 2016 he got 63 million votes and after all of his antics, increase to 74 million in 2020. I don’t know if he will increase that or if he will lose a percentage, but if he does, I don’t expect it to be much. I think Biden has shown that the 2020 election was a big mistake in the minds of many people.

With Port Arthur being sideways…. 
 

I early voted for Haley in the primary.  I think she bows out after 3/5/2024 unless she does unimaginably well.  
 
I'll probably just refrain from voting for President if Trump is the Republican nominee... and I'm 99% sure that he will be.  And whoever gets "lucky" and gets selected as Trump's VP pick will get eviscerated (aka Pence) by Trump eventually, just like everybody else who's ever worked for him.   It's like this- All of the liberals/democrats hate him and will never vote for him.  The majority of Independents/Moderates are also so turned off by his actions that they will either vote for someone else or just stay home.  Somewhere near 40% of Republicans/Conservatives are like me.... they just aren't going to vote for Trump.  As easily as I can say that Haley can't win the primary, I can just as easily say that Trump can't win in the general.  
The question is this... who is more ignorant?  The people who vote for the Democrat (presumably Biden) or the people who nominate someone who can't beat Biden?  
I'll put it like this... you have the most powerful person in the Texas House representing SETX... Dade Phelan.  I think there's a very good possibility that he loses to Covey, in large part due to the endorsement of Trump.  On here, I see people who are like "yeah, he's a RINO... he needs to go.  Did you see where Trump endorsed him?"  At the end of the day you're just shooting yourself in the foot because you're going from having the top dawg in the House (the Speaker himself) representing you... and you give that away because he's not MAGA enough for you.  It's a huge loss for the locals, but at least MAGA gets a win, right?  It's the reason that San Francisco kept sending Pelosi back to Washington.  Was she perfect?  Heck, no-far from it.  Was she the most powerful person in the House?  Yes.... case closed... you don't fire that person.  Or at least you shouldn't.  But the Left, while I disagree with them, are proving again that they are politically superior to the Right. 

Dogs on top! I like it 

OMG!!
Trump
Bill ClInton
JFK
FDR

If Trump wins this time it will be the same reason as he won in 2016…… because the Democrat machine chose their insider candidate, who was horrible.
Notice that Trump didn’t win with Pence in 2020. 

They were out when Big Girl tried to buy them online and like me, wants to see if someone wants to sell them at less than eBay prices. 

I couldn’t get to them in time. 
They are too high on ebay right now. $400 is okay but $4,999 is a stretch.
Maybe the next batch…

They were out when Big Girl tried to buy them online and like me, wants to see if someone wants to sell them at less than eBay prices. 

Lipstick on a pig?
It is a ludicrous spending of public money as window dressing that will be taken out soon by a drunk driver. 

OMG!!
Trump
Bill ClInton
JFK
FDR

Don't hold back......lol
 

Lefty’s won’t watch it